{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\be947625\Desktop\Spying from Space - Replication Materials\Log File for Spying from Space Replication Analysis.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res}27 Jan 2021, 11:55:38

{com}. do "C:\Users\be947625\Desktop\Spying from Space - Replication Materials\Spying from Space Do File JCR R&R (7.16.20).do"
{txt}
{com}. ***********************************
. * Do File for "Spying from Space" *
. * By Bryan Early and Erik Gartzke *
. * Version July 14,2020            *
. ***********************************
. 
. 
. ***********************************
. * Analysis for in-text Discussion * 
. ***********************************
. 
. *Identifying MIDs with Surveillance Satellite Cases Using DV with Fatality Level 3-6 (100+ Total Battle Deaths in a Year)**
. 
. count if yrSalientMIDs_SA==1 & PolRev==1
  {res}139
{txt}
{com}. 
. count if yrSalientMIDs_SA==1 & NoServSat ==1 & PolRev==1
  {res}117
{txt}
{com}. count if yrSalientMIDs_SA==1 & Only1ServSat ==1 & PolRev==1
  {res}13
{txt}
{com}. count if yrSalientMIDs_SA==1 & Only2ServSat ==1 & PolRev==1
  {res}8
{txt}
{com}. count if yrSalientMIDs_SA==1 & BothServSat ==1 & PolRev==1
  {res}1
{txt}
{com}. 
. **Counting and Listing Cases**
. 
. count if yrSalientMIDs_SA==1 & ServSat1 ==1 & PolRev==1
  {res}14
{txt}
{com}. count if yrSalientMIDs_SA==1 & ServSat2 ==1 & PolRev==1
  {res}9
{txt}
{com}. 
. list ddyad year if yrSalientMIDs_SA==1 & ServSat1 ==1 & PolRev==1
{txt}
         {c TLC}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c TRC}
         {c |} {res} ddyad   year {txt}{c |}
         {c LT}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c RT}
    468. {c |} {res}  2055   1983 {txt}{c |}
   3002. {c |} {res}  2345   1999 {txt}{c |}
   6468. {c |} {res}  2645   2003 {txt}{c |}
   7187. {c |} {res}  2700   2001 {txt}{c |}
   7499. {c |} {res}  2731   1969 {txt}{c |}
         {c LT}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c RT}
   8288. {c |} {res}  2816   1973 {txt}{c |}
 329318. {c |} {res}220345   1999 {txt}{c |}
 333503. {c |} {res}220700   2001 {txt}{c |}
 522400. {c |} {res}365372   1993 {txt}{c |}
 522417. {c |} {res}365372   2010 {txt}{c |}
         {c LT}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c RT}
1161782. {c |} {res}710365   1979 {txt}{c |}
1166677. {c |} {res}710816   1979 {txt}{c |}
1166685. {c |} {res}710816   1987 {txt}{c |}
1220085. {c |} {res}750770   2003 {txt}{c |}
         {c BLC}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c BRC}

{com}. list ddyad year if yrSalientMIDs_SA==1 & ServSat2 ==1 & PolRev==1
{txt}
         {c TLC}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c TRC}
         {c |} {res} ddyad   year {txt}{c |}
         {c LT}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c RT}
 168488. {c |} {res} 95002   1989 {txt}{c |}
1019513. {c |} {res}645002   1970 {txt}{c |}
1019534. {c |} {res}645002   1991 {txt}{c |}
1021665. {c |} {res}645220   1991 {txt}{c |}
1053090. {c |} {res}660666   2006 {txt}{c |}
         {c LT}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c RT}
1067718. {c |} {res}666365   1970 {txt}{c |}
1161772. {c |} {res}710365   1969 {txt}{c |}
1161782. {c |} {res}710365   1979 {txt}{c |}
1235886. {c |} {res}770750   1999 {txt}{c |}
         {c BLC}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. **Identifying MIDs with Surveillance Satellite Cases Using DV with Fatality Level 2-6 (25+ Total Battle Deaths in a Year)**
. 
. count if yrSalientMIDs_SA2==1 & NoServSat ==1 & PolRev==1
  {res}171
{txt}
{com}. count if yrSalientMIDs_SA2==1 & Only1ServSat ==1 & PolRev==1
  {res}16
{txt}
{com}. count if yrSalientMIDs_SA2==1 & Only2ServSat ==1 & PolRev==1
  {res}13
{txt}
{com}. count if yrSalientMIDs_SA2==1 & BothServSat ==1 & PolRev==1
  {res}1
{txt}
{com}. 
. count if yrSalientMIDs_SA2==1 & ServSat1 ==1 & PolRev==1
  {res}17
{txt}
{com}. count if yrSalientMIDs_SA2==1 & ServSat2 ==1 & PolRev==1
  {res}14
{txt}
{com}. 
. list ddyad year if yrSalientMIDs_SA2==1 & ServSat1 ==1 & PolRev==1
{txt}
         {c TLC}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c TRC}
         {c |} {res} ddyad   year {txt}{c |}
         {c LT}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c RT}
    468. {c |} {res}  2055   1983 {txt}{c |}
   3002. {c |} {res}  2345   1999 {txt}{c |}
   6468. {c |} {res}  2645   2003 {txt}{c |}
   7184. {c |} {res}  2700   1998 {txt}{c |}
   7187. {c |} {res}  2700   2001 {txt}{c |}
         {c LT}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c RT}
   7499. {c |} {res}  2731   1969 {txt}{c |}
   8288. {c |} {res}  2816   1973 {txt}{c |}
 329318. {c |} {res}220345   1999 {txt}{c |}
 333503. {c |} {res}220700   2001 {txt}{c |}
 522400. {c |} {res}365372   1993 {txt}{c |}
         {c LT}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c RT}
 522417. {c |} {res}365372   2010 {txt}{c |}
 526088. {c |} {res}365700   1994 {txt}{c |}
1161782. {c |} {res}710365   1979 {txt}{c |}
1166677. {c |} {res}710816   1979 {txt}{c |}
1166685. {c |} {res}710816   1987 {txt}{c |}
         {c LT}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c RT}
1220085. {c |} {res}750770   2003 {txt}{c |}
1220092. {c |} {res}750770   2010 {txt}{c |}
         {c BLC}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c BRC}

{com}. list ddyad year if yrSalientMIDs_SA2==1 & ServSat2 ==1 & PolRev==1
{txt}
         {c TLC}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c TRC}
         {c |} {res} ddyad   year {txt}{c |}
         {c LT}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c RT}
 168488. {c |} {res} 95002   1989 {txt}{c |}
1019513. {c |} {res}645002   1970 {txt}{c |}
1019530. {c |} {res}645002   1987 {txt}{c |}
1019534. {c |} {res}645002   1991 {txt}{c |}
1021665. {c |} {res}645220   1991 {txt}{c |}
         {c LT}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c RT}
1053090. {c |} {res}660666   2006 {txt}{c |}
1067718. {c |} {res}666365   1970 {txt}{c |}
1161772. {c |} {res}710365   1969 {txt}{c |}
1161782. {c |} {res}710365   1979 {txt}{c |}
1185413. {c |} {res}731002   1961 {txt}{c |}
         {c LT}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c RT}
1192991. {c |} {res}731732   1999 {txt}{c |}
1193002. {c |} {res}731732   2010 {txt}{c |}
1235886. {c |} {res}770750   1999 {txt}{c |}
1312307. {c |} {res}816710   1983 {txt}{c |}
         {c BLC}{hline 8}{c -}{hline 6}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. **Cross Tab: Both States Have Surveillance Satellites and Serious Conflict**
. tab yrSalientMIDs_SA BothServSat if PolRev==1 , col
{txt}
{c TLC}{hline 19}{c TRC}
{c |} Key{col 21}{c |}
{c LT}{hline 19}{c RT}
{c |}{space 5}{it:frequency}{col 21}{c |}
{c |}{space 1}{it:column percentage}{col 21}{c |}
{c BLC}{hline 19}{c BRC}

           {c |}   Both Recon Sat in
yrSalientM {c |}         Dyad
    IDs_SA {c |}         0          1 {c |}     Total
{hline 11}{c +}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 10}
         0 {c |}{res}   133,542      2,513 {txt}{c |}{res}   136,055 
           {txt}{c |}{res}     99.90      99.96 {txt}{c |}{res}     99.90 
{txt}{hline 11}{c +}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 10}
         1 {c |}{res}       138          1 {txt}{c |}{res}       139 
           {txt}{c |}{res}      0.10       0.04 {txt}{c |}{res}      0.10 
{txt}{hline 11}{c +}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 10}
     Total {c |}{res}   133,680      2,514 {txt}{c |}{res}   136,194 
           {txt}{c |}{res}    100.00     100.00 {txt}{c |}{res}    100.00 

{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *******************************************
. * Replication for Tables 1-3 and Figure 1 * 
. *******************************************
. 
. *** Replication for Table 1**
. tab yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 if HadSalMIDEver==1 & PolRev==1, chi col
{txt}
{c TLC}{hline 19}{c TRC}
{c |} Key{col 21}{c |}
{c LT}{hline 19}{c RT}
{c |}{space 5}{it:frequency}{col 21}{c |}
{c |}{space 1}{it:column percentage}{col 21}{c |}
{c BLC}{hline 19}{c BRC}

           {c |}  Aggressor Has Recon
yrSalientM {c |}       Satellite
    IDs_SA {c |}         0          1 {c |}     Total
{hline 11}{c +}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 10}
         0 {c |}{res}     4,730      1,283 {txt}{c |}{res}     6,013 
           {txt}{c |}{res}     97.43      98.92 {txt}{c |}{res}     97.74 
{txt}{hline 11}{c +}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 10}
         1 {c |}{res}       125         14 {txt}{c |}{res}       139 
           {txt}{c |}{res}      2.57       1.08 {txt}{c |}{res}      2.26 
{txt}{hline 11}{c +}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 10}
     Total {c |}{res}     4,855      1,297 {txt}{c |}{res}     6,152 
           {txt}{c |}{res}    100.00     100.00 {txt}{c |}{res}    100.00 

{txt}          Pearson chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res} 10.3626  {txt} Pr = {res}0.001
{txt}
{com}. tab yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat2 if HadSalMIDEver==1 & PolRev==1, chi col
{txt}
{c TLC}{hline 19}{c TRC}
{c |} Key{col 21}{c |}
{c LT}{hline 19}{c RT}
{c |}{space 5}{it:frequency}{col 21}{c |}
{c |}{space 1}{it:column percentage}{col 21}{c |}
{c BLC}{hline 19}{c BRC}

           {c |}   Target Has Recon
yrSalientM {c |}       Satellite
    IDs_SA {c |}         0          1 {c |}     Total
{hline 11}{c +}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 10}
         0 {c |}{res}     5,032        981 {txt}{c |}{res}     6,013 
           {txt}{c |}{res}     97.48      99.09 {txt}{c |}{res}     97.74 
{txt}{hline 11}{c +}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 10}
         1 {c |}{res}       130          9 {txt}{c |}{res}       139 
           {txt}{c |}{res}      2.52       0.91 {txt}{c |}{res}      2.26 
{txt}{hline 11}{c +}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 10}
     Total {c |}{res}     5,162        990 {txt}{c |}{res}     6,152 
           {txt}{c |}{res}    100.00     100.00 {txt}{c |}{res}    100.00 

{txt}          Pearson chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}  9.7419  {txt} Pr = {res}0.002
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. ***Replication for Table 2***
. **All Periods - All Side A States: DV is a MID year observation occurs with fatalities of more than 100**
. eststo M1: relogit  yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1 & year<=2000


{txt}Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   102716

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.133139{col 35}{space 2} .3564584{col 46}{space 1}   -3.18{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-1.831785{col 76}{space 3}-.4344935
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.246797{col 35}{space 2} .3724592{col 46}{space 1}   -3.35{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-1.976804{col 76}{space 3}-.5167907
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0526938{col 35}{space 2} .0441872{col 46}{space 1}   -1.19{col 55}{space 3}0.233{col 63}{space 4} -.139299{col 76}{space 3} .0339115
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000919{col 35}{space 2} .0025304{col 46}{space 1}    0.04{col 55}{space 3}0.971{col 63}{space 4}-.0048676{col 76}{space 3} .0050514
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000134{col 35}{space 2} .0000387{col 46}{space 1}    0.35{col 55}{space 3}0.730{col 63}{space 4}-.0000625{col 76}{space 3} .0000893
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-5.720236{col 35}{space 2} .1994168{col 46}{space 1}  -28.68{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-6.111086{col 76}{space 3}-5.329386
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: relogit      yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2              lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1 & year<=2000
{txt}(416,144 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}    79274

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.469433{col 35}{space 2} .7352467{col 46}{space 1}   -2.00{col 55}{space 3}0.046{col 63}{space 4} -2.91049{col 76}{space 3}-.0283764
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.9506434{col 35}{space 2} .4955257{col 46}{space 1}   -1.92{col 55}{space 3}0.055{col 63}{space 4}-1.921856{col 76}{space 3}  .020569
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1856971{col 35}{space 2} .0440344{col 46}{space 1}    4.22{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0993914{col 76}{space 3} .2720029
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .097639{col 35}{space 2} .0409571{col 46}{space 1}    2.38{col 55}{space 3}0.017{col 63}{space 4} .0173645{col 76}{space 3} .1779134
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.5565666{col 35}{space 2} .1222005{col 46}{space 1}   -4.55{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.7960751{col 76}{space 3}-.3170581
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1101766{col 35}{space 2} .1016876{col 46}{space 1}   -1.08{col 55}{space 3}0.279{col 63}{space 4}-.3094807{col 76}{space 3} .0891275
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0726386{col 35}{space 2} .0360825{col 46}{space 1}   -2.01{col 55}{space 3}0.044{col 63}{space 4}-.1433591{col 76}{space 3}-.0019182
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3699856{col 35}{space 2} .3781699{col 46}{space 1}    0.98{col 55}{space 3}0.328{col 63}{space 4}-.3712137{col 76}{space 3} 1.111185
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7547029{col 35}{space 2} .2672101{col 46}{space 1}    2.82{col 55}{space 3}0.005{col 63}{space 4} .2309807{col 76}{space 3} 1.278425
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.674728{col 35}{space 2} .6683686{col 46}{space 1}   -2.51{col 55}{space 3}0.012{col 63}{space 4}-2.984707{col 76}{space 3}  -.36475
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3997194{col 35}{space 2} .3154884{col 46}{space 1}   -1.27{col 55}{space 3}0.205{col 63}{space 4}-1.018065{col 76}{space 3} .2186265
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.241887{col 35}{space 2} .2777184{col 46}{space 1}    8.07{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.697569{col 76}{space 3} 2.786205
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0739283{col 35}{space 2} .0527872{col 46}{space 1}   -1.40{col 55}{space 3}0.161{col 63}{space 4}-.1773894{col 76}{space 3} .0295328
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0015963{col 35}{space 2} .0027864{col 46}{space 1}    0.57{col 55}{space 3}0.567{col 63}{space 4} -.003865{col 76}{space 3} .0070576
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0000162{col 35}{space 2} .0000411{col 46}{space 1}   -0.39{col 55}{space 3}0.694{col 63}{space 4}-.0000967{col 76}{space 3} .0000643
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -4.29767{col 35}{space 2} 1.069261{col 46}{space 1}   -4.02{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-6.393383{col 76}{space 3}-2.201957
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M3: relogit  yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1  


{txt}Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   136194

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.9293438{col 35}{space 2} .2847502{col 46}{space 1}   -3.26{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-1.487444{col 76}{space 3}-.3712437
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.363085{col 35}{space 2}  .364673{col 46}{space 1}   -3.74{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.077831{col 76}{space 3} -.648339
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -1.14739{col 35}{space 2} .3642939{col 46}{space 1}   -3.15{col 55}{space 3}0.002{col 63}{space 4}-1.861393{col 76}{space 3} -.433387
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0599379{col 35}{space 2} .0349629{col 46}{space 1}   -1.71{col 55}{space 3}0.086{col 63}{space 4}-.1284639{col 76}{space 3}  .008588
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0002876{col 35}{space 2} .0015414{col 46}{space 1}    0.19{col 55}{space 3}0.852{col 63}{space 4}-.0027334{col 76}{space 3} .0033087
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000141{col 35}{space 2} .0000186{col 46}{space 1}    0.76{col 55}{space 3}0.447{col 63}{space 4}-.0000223{col 76}{space 3} .0000505
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -5.71356{col 35}{space 2} .1873433{col 46}{space 1}  -30.50{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-6.080747{col 76}{space 3}-5.346374
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M4: relogit      yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1
{txt}(416,144 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   105032

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.9538323{col 35}{space 2} .4335493{col 46}{space 1}   -2.20{col 55}{space 3}0.028{col 63}{space 4}-1.803573{col 76}{space 3}-.1040912
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.098445{col 35}{space 2} .4856725{col 46}{space 1}   -2.26{col 55}{space 3}0.024{col 63}{space 4}-2.050345{col 76}{space 3}-.1465441
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2748755{col 35}{space 2} .3776906{col 46}{space 1}   -0.73{col 55}{space 3}0.467{col 63}{space 4}-1.015135{col 76}{space 3} .4653844
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1856735{col 35}{space 2}  .044509{col 46}{space 1}    4.17{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0984375{col 76}{space 3} .2729096
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1016774{col 35}{space 2} .0391698{col 46}{space 1}    2.60{col 55}{space 3}0.009{col 63}{space 4}  .024906{col 76}{space 3} .1784488
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.5134777{col 35}{space 2} .1187206{col 46}{space 1}   -4.33{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.7461657{col 76}{space 3}-.2807897
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1641126{col 35}{space 2} .0997628{col 46}{space 1}   -1.65{col 55}{space 3}0.100{col 63}{space 4}-.3596441{col 76}{space 3}  .031419
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0713936{col 35}{space 2} .0343335{col 46}{space 1}   -2.08{col 55}{space 3}0.038{col 63}{space 4}-.1386861{col 76}{space 3}-.0041011
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3919889{col 35}{space 2} .3449371{col 46}{space 1}    1.14{col 55}{space 3}0.256{col 63}{space 4}-.2840754{col 76}{space 3} 1.068053
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7013717{col 35}{space 2}  .262869{col 46}{space 1}    2.67{col 55}{space 3}0.008{col 63}{space 4} .1861579{col 76}{space 3} 1.216586
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.907409{col 35}{space 2} .6597636{col 46}{space 1}   -2.89{col 55}{space 3}0.004{col 63}{space 4}-3.200522{col 76}{space 3}-.6142963
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4119954{col 35}{space 2} .3068302{col 46}{space 1}   -1.34{col 55}{space 3}0.179{col 63}{space 4}-1.013372{col 76}{space 3} .1893808
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.249682{col 35}{space 2} .2641395{col 46}{space 1}    8.52{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.731978{col 76}{space 3} 2.767386
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0560937{col 35}{space 2}   .04511{col 46}{space 1}   -1.24{col 55}{space 3}0.214{col 63}{space 4}-.1445078{col 76}{space 3} .0323203
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000642{col 35}{space 2} .0019812{col 46}{space 1}    0.03{col 55}{space 3}0.974{col 63}{space 4}-.0038189{col 76}{space 3} .0039472
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000133{col 35}{space 2} .0000241{col 46}{space 1}    0.55{col 55}{space 3}0.582{col 63}{space 4} -.000034{col 76}{space 3} .0000605
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-4.284767{col 35}{space 2}  1.03429{col 46}{space 1}   -4.14{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-6.311938{col 76}{space 3}-2.257597
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. esttab M1 M2 M3 M4, se(2) pr2 b(2) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)             (3)             (4)   
{txt}             yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A   
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}ServSat1    {res}        -1.13***        -1.47**         -0.93***        -0.95** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.36{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.74{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.28{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.43{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}ServSat2    {res}        -1.25***        -0.95*          -1.36***        -1.10** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.37{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.50{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.36{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalientN~A{res}        -0.05           -0.07           -0.06*          -0.06   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_sq{res}         0.00            0.00            0.00            0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_cb{res}         0.00           -0.00            0.00            0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex1    {res}                         0.19***                         0.19***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex2    {res}                         0.10**                          0.10***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc1   {res}                        -0.56***                        -0.51***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc2   {res}                        -0.11                           -0.16*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lndist      {res}                        -0.07**                         -0.07** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem1        {res}                         0.37                            0.39   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.38{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.34{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem2        {res}                         0.75***                         0.70***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.27{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.26{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem_Both    {res}                        -1.67**                         -1.91***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.67{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.66{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}defense     {res}                        -0.40                           -0.41   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.32{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.31{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Strat_Riv   {res}                         2.24***                         2.25***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.28{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.26{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}post2000    {res}                                        -1.15***        -0.27   {txt}
            {res}                                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.36{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.38{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        -5.72***        -4.30***        -5.71***        -4.28***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.20{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.19{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.03{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}N           {res}       102716           79274          136194          105032   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}                                                                {txt}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. **Figure 1: Coefficient Plot**
. 
. relogit         yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1
{txt}(416,144 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   105032

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.9538323{col 35}{space 2} .4335493{col 46}{space 1}   -2.20{col 55}{space 3}0.028{col 63}{space 4}-1.803573{col 76}{space 3}-.1040912
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.098445{col 35}{space 2} .4856725{col 46}{space 1}   -2.26{col 55}{space 3}0.024{col 63}{space 4}-2.050345{col 76}{space 3}-.1465441
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2748755{col 35}{space 2} .3776906{col 46}{space 1}   -0.73{col 55}{space 3}0.467{col 63}{space 4}-1.015135{col 76}{space 3} .4653844
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1856735{col 35}{space 2}  .044509{col 46}{space 1}    4.17{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0984375{col 76}{space 3} .2729096
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1016774{col 35}{space 2} .0391698{col 46}{space 1}    2.60{col 55}{space 3}0.009{col 63}{space 4}  .024906{col 76}{space 3} .1784488
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.5134777{col 35}{space 2} .1187206{col 46}{space 1}   -4.33{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.7461657{col 76}{space 3}-.2807897
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1641126{col 35}{space 2} .0997628{col 46}{space 1}   -1.65{col 55}{space 3}0.100{col 63}{space 4}-.3596441{col 76}{space 3}  .031419
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0713936{col 35}{space 2} .0343335{col 46}{space 1}   -2.08{col 55}{space 3}0.038{col 63}{space 4}-.1386861{col 76}{space 3}-.0041011
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3919889{col 35}{space 2} .3449371{col 46}{space 1}    1.14{col 55}{space 3}0.256{col 63}{space 4}-.2840754{col 76}{space 3} 1.068053
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7013717{col 35}{space 2}  .262869{col 46}{space 1}    2.67{col 55}{space 3}0.008{col 63}{space 4} .1861579{col 76}{space 3} 1.216586
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.907409{col 35}{space 2} .6597636{col 46}{space 1}   -2.89{col 55}{space 3}0.004{col 63}{space 4}-3.200522{col 76}{space 3}-.6142963
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4119954{col 35}{space 2} .3068302{col 46}{space 1}   -1.34{col 55}{space 3}0.179{col 63}{space 4}-1.013372{col 76}{space 3} .1893808
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.249682{col 35}{space 2} .2641395{col 46}{space 1}    8.52{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.731978{col 76}{space 3} 2.767386
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0560937{col 35}{space 2}   .04511{col 46}{space 1}   -1.24{col 55}{space 3}0.214{col 63}{space 4}-.1445078{col 76}{space 3} .0323203
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000642{col 35}{space 2} .0019812{col 46}{space 1}    0.03{col 55}{space 3}0.974{col 63}{space 4}-.0038189{col 76}{space 3} .0039472
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000133{col 35}{space 2} .0000241{col 46}{space 1}    0.55{col 55}{space 3}0.582{col 63}{space 4} -.000034{col 76}{space 3} .0000605
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-4.284767{col 35}{space 2}  1.03429{col 46}{space 1}   -4.14{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-6.311938{col 76}{space 3}-2.257597
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. coefplot, drop (lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb _cons) xline(0)
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. **Replication for Table 3: Predicted Probabilities and Relative Risks using Model 4**
. 
. relogit         yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1
{txt}(416,144 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   105032

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.9538323{col 35}{space 2} .4335493{col 46}{space 1}   -2.20{col 55}{space 3}0.028{col 63}{space 4}-1.803573{col 76}{space 3}-.1040912
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.098445{col 35}{space 2} .4856725{col 46}{space 1}   -2.26{col 55}{space 3}0.024{col 63}{space 4}-2.050345{col 76}{space 3}-.1465441
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2748755{col 35}{space 2} .3776906{col 46}{space 1}   -0.73{col 55}{space 3}0.467{col 63}{space 4}-1.015135{col 76}{space 3} .4653844
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1856735{col 35}{space 2}  .044509{col 46}{space 1}    4.17{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0984375{col 76}{space 3} .2729096
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1016774{col 35}{space 2} .0391698{col 46}{space 1}    2.60{col 55}{space 3}0.009{col 63}{space 4}  .024906{col 76}{space 3} .1784488
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.5134777{col 35}{space 2} .1187206{col 46}{space 1}   -4.33{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.7461657{col 76}{space 3}-.2807897
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1641126{col 35}{space 2} .0997628{col 46}{space 1}   -1.65{col 55}{space 3}0.100{col 63}{space 4}-.3596441{col 76}{space 3}  .031419
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0713936{col 35}{space 2} .0343335{col 46}{space 1}   -2.08{col 55}{space 3}0.038{col 63}{space 4}-.1386861{col 76}{space 3}-.0041011
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3919889{col 35}{space 2} .3449371{col 46}{space 1}    1.14{col 55}{space 3}0.256{col 63}{space 4}-.2840754{col 76}{space 3} 1.068053
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7013717{col 35}{space 2}  .262869{col 46}{space 1}    2.67{col 55}{space 3}0.008{col 63}{space 4} .1861579{col 76}{space 3} 1.216586
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.907409{col 35}{space 2} .6597636{col 46}{space 1}   -2.89{col 55}{space 3}0.004{col 63}{space 4}-3.200522{col 76}{space 3}-.6142963
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4119954{col 35}{space 2} .3068302{col 46}{space 1}   -1.34{col 55}{space 3}0.179{col 63}{space 4}-1.013372{col 76}{space 3} .1893808
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.249682{col 35}{space 2} .2641395{col 46}{space 1}    8.52{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.731978{col 76}{space 3} 2.767386
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0560937{col 35}{space 2}   .04511{col 46}{space 1}   -1.24{col 55}{space 3}0.214{col 63}{space 4}-.1445078{col 76}{space 3} .0323203
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000642{col 35}{space 2} .0019812{col 46}{space 1}    0.03{col 55}{space 3}0.974{col 63}{space 4}-.0038189{col 76}{space 3} .0039472
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000133{col 35}{space 2} .0000241{col 46}{space 1}    0.55{col 55}{space 3}0.582{col 63}{space 4} -.000034{col 76}{space 3} .0000605
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-4.284767{col 35}{space 2}  1.03429{col 46}{space 1}   -4.14{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-6.311938{col 76}{space 3}-2.257597
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. setx mean
{txt}
{com}.  
.  setx ServSat1 0 ServSat2 0 post2000 0 Dem1 0 Dem2 0 Dem_Both 0 defense 0 Strat_Riv 0 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA 16 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq 256 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb 4096
{txt}
{com}.  relogitq 

{txt}Probabilities and confidence intervals based on initial X-values
{res}   Pr(yrSalientMIDs_SA==1)  =  0.00062
   95% Confidence Interval =  0.00037 to .00101113
{txt}
{com}.  
.  setx ServSat1 1 ServSat2 0 post2000 0 Dem1 0 Dem2 0 Dem_Both 0 defense 0 Strat_Riv 0 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA 16 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq 256 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb 4096
{txt}
{com}.  relogitq

{txt}Probabilities and confidence intervals based on initial X-values
{res}   Pr(yrSalientMIDs_SA==1)  =  0.00023
   95% Confidence Interval =  0.00010 to .0006122
{txt}
{com}.  
.  setx ServSat1 0 ServSat2 1 post2000 0 Dem1 0 Dem2 0 Dem_Both 0 defense 0 Strat_Riv 0 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA 16 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq 256 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb 4096
{txt}
{com}.  relogitq

{txt}Probabilities and confidence intervals based on initial X-values
{res}   Pr(yrSalientMIDs_SA==1)  =  0.00021
   95% Confidence Interval =  0.00007 to .00058207
{txt}
{com}.  
.  setx ServSat1 1 ServSat2 1 post2000 0 Dem1 0 Dem2 0 Dem_Both 0 defense 0 Strat_Riv 0 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA 16 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq 256 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb 4096
{txt}
{com}.  relogitq

{txt}Probabilities and confidence intervals based on initial X-values
{res}   Pr(yrSalientMIDs_SA==1)  =  0.00008
   95% Confidence Interval =  0.00002 to .00027769
{txt}
{com}.  
.  
.  setx ServSat1 0 ServSat2 0 post2000 0 Dem1 0 Dem2 0 Dem_Both 0 defense 0 Strat_Riv 0 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA 16 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq 256 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb 4096
{txt}
{com}.  relogitq, rr(ServSat1 0 1)

{txt}Relative Risk 1: ServSat1 0 1
{res}   rr(yrSalientMIDs_SA==1)  =  0.37931
   95% Confidence Interval =  0.14534 to .88109893
{txt}
{com}.  relogitq, rr(ServSat2 0 1)

{txt}Relative Risk 1: ServSat2 0 1
{res}   rr(yrSalientMIDs_SA==1)  =  0.33478
   95% Confidence Interval =  0.12614 to .92677364
{txt}
{com}.  relogitq, rr(ServSat1 0 1 ServSat2 0 1)

{txt}Relative Risk 1: ServSat1 0 1 ServSat2 0 1
{res}   rr(yrSalientMIDs_SA==1)  =  0.12172
   95% Confidence Interval =  0.03347 to .4170498
{txt}
{com}.  
.  
.   setx ServSat1 0 ServSat2 0 post2000 0 Dem1 0 Dem2 0 Dem_Both 0 defense 0 Strat_Riv 0 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA 16 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq 256 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb 4096
{txt}
{com}.  relogitq 

{txt}Probabilities and confidence intervals based on initial X-values
{res}   Pr(yrSalientMIDs_SA==1)  =  0.00061
   95% Confidence Interval =  0.00037 to .00101198
{txt}
{com}.  
.   setx ServSat1 0 ServSat2 0 post2000 0 Dem1 0 Dem2 0 Dem_Both 0 defense 0 Strat_Riv 0 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA 16 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq 256 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb 4096
{txt}
{com}.  relogitq, rr (Dem1 0 1 Dem2 0 1 Dem_Both 0 1)

{txt}Relative Risk 1: Dem1 0 1 Dem2 0 1 Dem_Both 0 1
{res}   rr(yrSalientMIDs_SA==1)  =  0.46322
   95% Confidence Interval =  0.13501 to 1.6254511
{txt}
{com}.  
.  setx ServSat1 0 ServSat2 0 post2000 0 Dem1 0 Dem2 0 Dem_Both 0 defense 0 Strat_Riv 0 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA 16 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq 256 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb 4096
{txt}
{com}.  relogitq, rr(Strat_Riv 0 1)

{txt}Relative Risk 1: Strat_Riv 0 1
{res}   rr(yrSalientMIDs_SA==1)  =  9.38122
   95% Confidence Interval =  5.74191 to 15.703296
{txt}
{com}.  
.  
.  
.  
. ***************************************
. * Replication for the Online Appendix * 
. ***************************************
. 
. ** Table A1: Summary Statistics**
. summ yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA if PolRev==1

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
yrSalientM~A {c |}{res}    136,194    .0010206    .0319307          0          1
{txt}{space 4}ServSat1 {c |}{res}    136,194    .2472649    .4314236          0          1
{txt}{space 4}ServSat2 {c |}{res}    136,194    .2472649    .4314236          0          1
{txt}{space 4}post2000 {c |}{res}    136,194    .2458111    .4305687          0          1
{txt}{space 4}lnmilex1 {c |}{res}    131,756    14.00058    4.016543          0   20.35741
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 4}lnmilex2 {c |}{res}    131,756    14.00058    4.016543          0   20.35741
{txt}{space 3}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{res}    135,615    8.722038      1.2828   4.888995   13.35702
{txt}{space 3}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{res}    135,615    8.722038      1.2828   4.888995   13.35702
{txt}{space 6}lndist {c |}{res}    136,194    6.597467     3.15511          0   9.391829
{txt}{space 8}Dem1 {c |}{res}    123,281    .4698859    .4990943          0          1
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 8}Dem2 {c |}{res}    123,281    .4698859    .4990943          0          1
{txt}{space 4}Dem_Both {c |}{res}    111,578    .2278227    .4194295          0          1
{txt}{space 5}defense {c |}{res}    136,194    .1762926    .3810704          0          1
{txt}{space 3}Strat_Riv {c |}{res}    136,194    .0357138    .1855762          0          1
{txt}yrSalientN~A {c |}{res}    136,194    24.04311    16.40715          0         60
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. **Table A2: Correlation Matrix**
. corr yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA if PolRev==1
{txt}(obs=105,032)

             {c |} yrSali.. ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdp~1 lnrgdp~2   lndist     Dem1     Dem2 Dem_Both
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 108}
yrSalientM~A {c |}{res}   1.0000
    {txt}ServSat1 {c |}{res}  -0.0126   1.0000
    {txt}ServSat2 {c |}{res}  -0.0126  -0.1657   1.0000
    {txt}post2000 {c |}{res}  -0.0128   0.2299   0.2299   1.0000
    {txt}lnmilex1 {c |}{res}  -0.0074   0.6135  -0.1965   0.1552   1.0000
    {txt}lnmilex2 {c |}{res}  -0.0068  -0.1965   0.6135   0.1552  -0.2354   1.0000
   {txt}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{res}  -0.0235   0.3800  -0.0832   0.1796   0.6303  -0.0626   1.0000
   {txt}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{res}  -0.0131  -0.0832   0.3800   0.1796  -0.0626   0.6303   0.0829   1.0000
      {txt}lndist {c |}{res}  -0.0259   0.2540   0.2540   0.1772   0.2710   0.2710   0.1989   0.1989   1.0000
        {txt}Dem1 {c |}{res}  -0.0162   0.2033  -0.0570   0.1078   0.4012  -0.0712   0.6396   0.0316   0.1801   1.0000
        {txt}Dem2 {c |}{res}  -0.0058  -0.0570   0.2033   0.1078  -0.0712   0.4012   0.0316   0.6396   0.1801   0.0535   1.0000
    {txt}Dem_Both {c |}{res}  -0.0153   0.0534   0.0534   0.1386   0.1436   0.1436   0.3487   0.3487   0.0420   0.5890   0.5890   1.0000
     {txt}defense {c |}{res}  -0.0042  -0.0680  -0.0745  -0.0242  -0.0464  -0.0529   0.0482   0.0427  -0.3571   0.0563   0.0515   0.2143
   {txt}Strat_Riv {c |}{res}   0.0649  -0.0735  -0.0735  -0.0582  -0.0671  -0.0671  -0.0845  -0.0845  -0.3052  -0.1000  -0.1000  -0.0776
{txt}yrSalientN~A {c |}{res}  -0.0195   0.2923   0.2899   0.4509   0.2838   0.2818   0.1859   0.1774   0.1501   0.1326   0.1248   0.1631

             {txt}{c |}  defense Strat_~v yrSali..
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 27}
     defense {c |}{res}   1.0000
   {txt}Strat_Riv {c |}{res}   0.1049   1.0000
{txt}yrSalientN~A {c |}{res}   0.0485  -0.0616   1.0000

{txt}
{com}. 
.  
. ** Table A3: Replicate Table 1 with Firth's Logit Robustness Check**
. eststo M5:  firthlogit  yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1 & year<=2000
{res}
{txt}initial:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-969.00168}
rescale:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-969.00168}
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-969.00168}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-948.17257}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-942.34633}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-941.42358}  (not concave)
Iteration 4:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-941.22761}  (not concave)
Iteration 5:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-941.12413}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res: -940.1575}  (not concave)
Iteration 7:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-939.32627}  (not concave)
Iteration 8:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-939.27392}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-938.01358}  (not concave)
Iteration 10:{space 2}penalized log likelihood = {res:-938.01225}  (not concave)
Iteration 11:{space 2}penalized log likelihood = {res:-937.96974}  
Iteration 12:{space 2}penalized log likelihood = {res:-937.88777}  
Iteration 13:{space 2}penalized log likelihood = {res:-937.88275}  
Iteration 14:{space 2}penalized log likelihood = {res:-937.88275}  
{res}
{txt}{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   102,716
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}5{txt}){col 67}= {res}     50.06
{txt}Penalized log likelihood = {res}-937.88275{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.134739{col 35}{space 2} .3439657{col 46}{space 1}   -3.30{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-1.808899{col 76}{space 3}-.4605786
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.248786{col 35}{space 2} .3614235{col 46}{space 1}   -3.46{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-1.957163{col 76}{space 3}-.5404088
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0527249{col 35}{space 2} .0485258{col 46}{space 1}   -1.09{col 55}{space 3}0.277{col 63}{space 4}-.1478338{col 76}{space 3}  .042384
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000948{col 35}{space 2} .0027065{col 46}{space 1}    0.04{col 55}{space 3}0.972{col 63}{space 4}-.0052098{col 76}{space 3} .0053995
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000133{col 35}{space 2}   .00004{col 46}{space 1}    0.33{col 55}{space 3}0.740{col 63}{space 4}-.0000651{col 76}{space 3} .0000917
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-5.720322{col 35}{space 2} .2054341{col 46}{space 1}  -27.85{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-6.122965{col 76}{space 3}-5.317678
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M6: firthlogit   yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2              lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1 & year<=2000
{res}
{txt}initial:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-687.01863}
rescale:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-687.01863}
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-687.01863}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-610.95848}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-589.54396}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-578.72236}  (not concave)
Iteration 4:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-575.96898}  (not concave)
Iteration 5:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-575.14133}  (not concave)
Iteration 6:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-574.57075}  (not concave)
Iteration 7:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-574.07001}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-566.79395}  (not concave)
Iteration 9:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-566.54327}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}penalized log likelihood = {res:-566.45653}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}penalized log likelihood = {res:-566.37223}  
Iteration 12:{space 2}penalized log likelihood = {res:-566.37005}  
Iteration 13:{space 2}penalized log likelihood = {res:-566.37005}  
{res}
{txt}{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}    79,274
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}    274.23
{txt}Penalized log likelihood = {res}-566.37005{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.496798{col 35}{space 2} .6803028{col 46}{space 1}   -2.20{col 55}{space 3}0.028{col 63}{space 4}-2.830167{col 76}{space 3}-.1634294
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.9555164{col 35}{space 2} .4869041{col 46}{space 1}   -1.96{col 55}{space 3}0.050{col 63}{space 4}-1.909831{col 76}{space 3} -.001202
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1856431{col 35}{space 2} .0469132{col 46}{space 1}    3.96{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0936949{col 76}{space 3} .2775913
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0976065{col 35}{space 2} .0486986{col 46}{space 1}    2.00{col 55}{space 3}0.045{col 63}{space 4}  .002159{col 76}{space 3}  .193054
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.5565962{col 35}{space 2} .1170742{col 46}{space 1}   -4.75{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.7860574{col 76}{space 3} -.327135
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1101547{col 35}{space 2} .1188832{col 46}{space 1}   -0.93{col 55}{space 3}0.354{col 63}{space 4}-.3431615{col 76}{space 3} .1228522
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0726583{col 35}{space 2} .0380293{col 46}{space 1}   -1.91{col 55}{space 3}0.056{col 63}{space 4}-.1471943{col 76}{space 3} .0018776
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3691928{col 35}{space 2} .3495167{col 46}{space 1}    1.06{col 55}{space 3}0.291{col 63}{space 4}-.3158473{col 76}{space 3} 1.054233
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7547171{col 35}{space 2} .2824044{col 46}{space 1}    2.67{col 55}{space 3}0.008{col 63}{space 4} .2012146{col 76}{space 3}  1.30822
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.687066{col 35}{space 2} .6513015{col 46}{space 1}   -2.59{col 55}{space 3}0.010{col 63}{space 4}-2.963594{col 76}{space 3}-.4105384
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4004106{col 35}{space 2} .3233976{col 46}{space 1}   -1.24{col 55}{space 3}0.216{col 63}{space 4}-1.034258{col 76}{space 3}  .233437
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.241845{col 35}{space 2} .2790988{col 46}{space 1}    8.03{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.694821{col 76}{space 3} 2.788868
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0739713{col 35}{space 2} .0597381{col 46}{space 1}   -1.24{col 55}{space 3}0.216{col 63}{space 4}-.1910559{col 76}{space 3} .0431132
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0016035{col 35}{space 2} .0034051{col 46}{space 1}    0.47{col 55}{space 3}0.638{col 63}{space 4}-.0050704{col 76}{space 3} .0082774
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0000164{col 35}{space 2} .0000523{col 46}{space 1}   -0.31{col 55}{space 3}0.754{col 63}{space 4}-.0001189{col 76}{space 3} .0000861
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-4.299321{col 35}{space 2} 1.174025{col 46}{space 1}   -3.66{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-6.600368{col 76}{space 3}-1.998274
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M7: firthlogit  yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1  
{res}
{txt}initial:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-1065.1775}
rescale:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-1065.1775}
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-1065.1775}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-1052.3164}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-1042.4663}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-1038.4628}  (not concave)
Iteration 4:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-1035.4639}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-1027.6747}  (not concave)
Iteration 6:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-1027.1982}  (not concave)
Iteration 7:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-1027.0846}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-1019.2443}  (not concave)
Iteration 9:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-1018.7427}  (not concave)
Iteration 10:{space 2}penalized log likelihood = {res:-1018.6755}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}penalized log likelihood = {res: -1018.641}  
Iteration 12:{space 2}penalized log likelihood = {res:-1018.6399}  
Iteration 13:{space 2}penalized log likelihood = {res:-1018.6399}  
{res}
{txt}{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   136,194
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}6{txt}){col 67}= {res}     71.41
{txt}Penalized log likelihood = {res}-1018.6399{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.9302288{col 35}{space 2} .2894193{col 46}{space 1}   -3.21{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4} -1.49748{col 76}{space 3}-.3629775
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.364861{col 35}{space 2} .3465983{col 46}{space 1}   -3.94{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.044181{col 76}{space 3}-.6855411
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.150179{col 35}{space 2} .4165185{col 46}{space 1}   -2.76{col 55}{space 3}0.006{col 63}{space 4} -1.96654{col 76}{space 3}-.3338173
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0599481{col 35}{space 2} .0404857{col 46}{space 1}   -1.48{col 55}{space 3}0.139{col 63}{space 4}-.1392987{col 76}{space 3} .0194024
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0002885{col 35}{space 2}  .001947{col 46}{space 1}    0.15{col 55}{space 3}0.882{col 63}{space 4}-.0035275{col 76}{space 3} .0041045
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000141{col 35}{space 2} .0000252{col 46}{space 1}    0.56{col 55}{space 3}0.576{col 63}{space 4}-.0000353{col 76}{space 3} .0000635
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-5.713703{col 35}{space 2} .1942228{col 46}{space 1}  -29.42{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-6.094372{col 76}{space 3}-5.333033
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M8: firthlogit   yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1
{res}
{txt}initial:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-759.75988}
rescale:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-759.75988}
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-759.75988}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-675.32307}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-652.92174}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-647.59769}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-629.40948}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-626.26894}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-625.78926}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-625.78385}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-625.78385}  
{res}
{txt}{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   105,032
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}    311.49
{txt}Penalized log likelihood = {res}-625.78385{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.958261{col 35}{space 2} .4700083{col 46}{space 1}   -2.04{col 55}{space 3}0.041{col 63}{space 4} -1.87946{col 76}{space 3}-.0370617
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.102879{col 35}{space 2} .4615476{col 46}{space 1}   -2.39{col 55}{space 3}0.017{col 63}{space 4}-2.007495{col 76}{space 3}-.1982619
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2796686{col 35}{space 2} .4611614{col 46}{space 1}   -0.61{col 55}{space 3}0.544{col 63}{space 4}-1.183528{col 76}{space 3} .6241911
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1856288{col 35}{space 2} .0468827{col 46}{space 1}    3.96{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0937404{col 76}{space 3} .2775172
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1016328{col 35}{space 2} .0473931{col 46}{space 1}    2.14{col 55}{space 3}0.032{col 63}{space 4}  .008744{col 76}{space 3} .1945216
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.5135778{col 35}{space 2} .1121563{col 46}{space 1}   -4.58{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.7334001{col 76}{space 3}-.2937554
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1641151{col 35}{space 2} .1133426{col 46}{space 1}   -1.45{col 55}{space 3}0.148{col 63}{space 4}-.3862626{col 76}{space 3} .0580324
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0713947{col 35}{space 2} .0365422{col 46}{space 1}   -1.95{col 55}{space 3}0.051{col 63}{space 4}-.1430162{col 76}{space 3} .0002268
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3916223{col 35}{space 2}  .324638{col 46}{space 1}    1.21{col 55}{space 3}0.228{col 63}{space 4}-.2446566{col 76}{space 3} 1.027901
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7013561{col 35}{space 2} .2753942{col 46}{space 1}    2.55{col 55}{space 3}0.011{col 63}{space 4} .1615933{col 76}{space 3} 1.241119
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -1.92002{col 35}{space 2}  .639059{col 46}{space 1}   -3.00{col 55}{space 3}0.003{col 63}{space 4}-3.172552{col 76}{space 3}-.6674871
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4126233{col 35}{space 2} .3108378{col 46}{space 1}   -1.33{col 55}{space 3}0.184{col 63}{space 4}-1.021854{col 76}{space 3} .1966076
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.249818{col 35}{space 2} .2685636{col 46}{space 1}    8.38{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.723443{col 76}{space 3} 2.776193
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0560712{col 35}{space 2} .0488498{col 46}{space 1}   -1.15{col 55}{space 3}0.251{col 63}{space 4} -.151815{col 76}{space 3} .0396726
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000646{col 35}{space 2} .0023524{col 46}{space 1}    0.03{col 55}{space 3}0.978{col 63}{space 4} -.004546{col 76}{space 3} .0046752
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000132{col 35}{space 2} .0000308{col 46}{space 1}    0.43{col 55}{space 3}0.668{col 63}{space 4}-.0000472{col 76}{space 3} .0000736
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-4.285794{col 35}{space 2} 1.121357{col 46}{space 1}   -3.82{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-6.483613{col 76}{space 3}-2.087974
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. esttab M5 M6 M7 M8, se(2) pr2 b(2) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)             (3)             (4)   
{txt}             yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A   
{txt}{hline 76}
{res}xb                                                                          {txt}
{txt}ServSat1    {res}        -1.13***        -1.50**         -0.93***        -0.96** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.34{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.68{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.29{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}ServSat2    {res}        -1.25***        -0.96**         -1.36***        -1.10** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.36{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.35{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalientN~A{res}        -0.05           -0.07           -0.06           -0.06   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_sq{res}         0.00            0.00            0.00            0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_cb{res}         0.00           -0.00            0.00            0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex1    {res}                         0.19***                         0.19***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex2    {res}                         0.10**                          0.10** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc1   {res}                        -0.56***                        -0.51***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc2   {res}                        -0.11                           -0.16   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lndist      {res}                        -0.07*                          -0.07*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem1        {res}                         0.37                            0.39   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.35{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.32{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem2        {res}                         0.75***                         0.70** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.28{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.28{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem_Both    {res}                        -1.69***                        -1.92***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.65{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.64{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}defense     {res}                        -0.40                           -0.41   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.32{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.31{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Strat_Riv   {res}                         2.24***                         2.25***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.28{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.27{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}post2000    {res}                                        -1.15***        -0.28   {txt}
            {res}                                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.42{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        -5.72***        -4.30***        -5.71***        -4.29***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.21{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.17{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.19{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.12{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}N           {res}       102716           79274          136194          105032   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}                                                                {txt}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. ** Table A4: Replicate Table 1 with Probit Robustness Check**
. eststo M9:  probit   yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1 & year<=2000, robust

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-997.30223}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-968.28676}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -965.2865}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-965.27714}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-965.27714}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   102,716
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}5{txt}){col 67}= {res}     49.40
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-965.27714{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0321

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3459775{col 35}{space 2} .1004772{col 46}{space 1}   -3.44{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-.5429092{col 76}{space 3}-.1490458
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3736929{col 35}{space 2} .1048814{col 46}{space 1}   -3.56{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.5792566{col 76}{space 3}-.1681292
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0163763{col 35}{space 2} .0140644{col 46}{space 1}   -1.16{col 55}{space 3}0.244{col 63}{space 4} -.043942{col 76}{space 3} .0111894
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000531{col 35}{space 2} .0007831{col 46}{space 1}    0.07{col 55}{space 3}0.946{col 63}{space 4}-.0014818{col 76}{space 3}  .001588
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 3.45e-06{col 35}{space 2} .0000118{col 46}{space 1}    0.29{col 55}{space 3}0.769{col 63}{space 4}-.0000196{col 76}{space 3} .0000265
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.729536{col 35}{space 2} .0650888{col 46}{space 1}  -41.94{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.857108{col 76}{space 3}-2.601965
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M10: probit      yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2              lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1 & year<=2000, robust

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-733.98797}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-636.89188}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-613.27131}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-611.22362}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-611.19135}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-611.19129}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}    79,274
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}    235.53
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-611.19129{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1673

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4657232{col 35}{space 2} .2057973{col 46}{space 1}   -2.26{col 55}{space 3}0.024{col 63}{space 4}-.8690784{col 76}{space 3}-.0623679
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2986954{col 35}{space 2} .1481238{col 46}{space 1}   -2.02{col 55}{space 3}0.044{col 63}{space 4}-.5890127{col 76}{space 3}-.0083781
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0674677{col 35}{space 2} .0149868{col 46}{space 1}    4.50{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}  .038094{col 76}{space 3} .0968413
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0381661{col 35}{space 2} .0139505{col 46}{space 1}    2.74{col 55}{space 3}0.006{col 63}{space 4} .0108236{col 76}{space 3} .0655086
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1881809{col 35}{space 2} .0418615{col 46}{space 1}   -4.50{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2702279{col 76}{space 3} -.106134
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0499667{col 35}{space 2} .0350479{col 46}{space 1}   -1.43{col 55}{space 3}0.154{col 63}{space 4}-.1186593{col 76}{space 3}  .018726
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0289231{col 35}{space 2} .0112025{col 46}{space 1}   -2.58{col 55}{space 3}0.010{col 63}{space 4}-.0508796{col 76}{space 3}-.0069665
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .120753{col 35}{space 2}  .123885{col 46}{space 1}    0.97{col 55}{space 3}0.330{col 63}{space 4}-.1220572{col 76}{space 3} .3635631
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2848029{col 35}{space 2} .0970579{col 46}{space 1}    2.93{col 55}{space 3}0.003{col 63}{space 4} .0945729{col 76}{space 3}  .475033
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.523033{col 35}{space 2}  .200236{col 46}{space 1}   -2.61{col 55}{space 3}0.009{col 63}{space 4}-.9154884{col 76}{space 3}-.1305776
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1559541{col 35}{space 2} .1047237{col 46}{space 1}   -1.49{col 55}{space 3}0.136{col 63}{space 4}-.3612088{col 76}{space 3} .0493005
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .777887{col 35}{space 2} .0889002{col 46}{space 1}    8.75{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .6036458{col 76}{space 3} .9521282
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0277125{col 35}{space 2} .0182874{col 46}{space 1}   -1.52{col 55}{space 3}0.130{col 63}{space 4}-.0635552{col 76}{space 3} .0081302
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0007343{col 35}{space 2} .0009321{col 46}{space 1}    0.79{col 55}{space 3}0.431{col 63}{space 4}-.0010926{col 76}{space 3} .0025612
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-9.46e-06{col 35}{space 2} .0000133{col 46}{space 1}   -0.71{col 55}{space 3}0.478{col 63}{space 4}-.0000356{col 76}{space 3} .0000167
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.240355{col 35}{space 2} .3568532{col 46}{space 1}   -6.28{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.939775{col 76}{space 3}-1.540936
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M11: probit  yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1, robust  

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1096.2723}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1055.2002}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1048.5403}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1048.4479}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1048.4477}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1048.4477}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   136,194
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}6{txt}){col 67}= {res}     65.22
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1048.4477{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0436

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2775691{col 35}{space 2}  .081329{col 46}{space 1}   -3.41{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4} -.436971{col 76}{space 3}-.1181672
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4011461{col 35}{space 2} .1004397{col 46}{space 1}   -3.99{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.5980042{col 76}{space 3} -.204288
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.342425{col 35}{space 2} .1028172{col 46}{space 1}   -3.33{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-.5439431{col 76}{space 3} -.140907
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0191996{col 35}{space 2} .0109728{col 46}{space 1}   -1.75{col 55}{space 3}0.080{col 63}{space 4} -.040706{col 76}{space 3} .0023068
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0001435{col 35}{space 2} .0004756{col 46}{space 1}    0.30{col 55}{space 3}0.763{col 63}{space 4}-.0007887{col 76}{space 3} .0010756
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 3.40e-06{col 35}{space 2} 5.66e-06{col 46}{space 1}    0.60{col 55}{space 3}0.547{col 63}{space 4}-7.69e-06{col 76}{space 3} .0000145
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.726917{col 35}{space 2} .0605553{col 46}{space 1}  -45.03{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.845603{col 76}{space 3}-2.608231
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M12: probit      yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1, robust

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -809.5293}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-701.23048}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-676.34036}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-674.53643}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-674.51543}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -674.5154}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   105,032
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}    245.79
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -674.5154{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1668

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2861199{col 35}{space 2} .1278816{col 46}{space 1}   -2.24{col 55}{space 3}0.025{col 63}{space 4}-.5367633{col 76}{space 3}-.0354766
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.325289{col 35}{space 2} .1414236{col 46}{space 1}   -2.30{col 55}{space 3}0.021{col 63}{space 4}-.6024743{col 76}{space 3}-.0481038
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0661772{col 35}{space 2} .1181705{col 46}{space 1}   -0.56{col 55}{space 3}0.575{col 63}{space 4}-.2977871{col 76}{space 3} .1654327
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0662515{col 35}{space 2} .0149215{col 46}{space 1}    4.44{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0370058{col 76}{space 3} .0954972
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0389185{col 35}{space 2} .0131527{col 46}{space 1}    2.96{col 55}{space 3}0.003{col 63}{space 4} .0131397{col 76}{space 3} .0646973
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.167202{col 35}{space 2} .0397334{col 46}{space 1}   -4.21{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2450781{col 76}{space 3}-.0893259
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0684221{col 35}{space 2} .0339292{col 46}{space 1}   -2.02{col 55}{space 3}0.044{col 63}{space 4}-.1349221{col 76}{space 3} -.001922
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0283678{col 35}{space 2} .0104273{col 46}{space 1}   -2.72{col 55}{space 3}0.007{col 63}{space 4} -.048805{col 76}{space 3}-.0079306
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1222137{col 35}{space 2} .1112442{col 46}{space 1}    1.10{col 55}{space 3}0.272{col 63}{space 4}-.0958209{col 76}{space 3} .3402484
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}   .25607{col 35}{space 2}   .09427{col 46}{space 1}    2.72{col 55}{space 3}0.007{col 63}{space 4} .0713043{col 76}{space 3} .4408358
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.5801767{col 35}{space 2} .1900115{col 46}{space 1}   -3.05{col 55}{space 3}0.002{col 63}{space 4}-.9525924{col 76}{space 3}-.2077611
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.154012{col 35}{space 2}  .102077{col 46}{space 1}   -1.51{col 55}{space 3}0.131{col 63}{space 4}-.3540792{col 76}{space 3} .0460552
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .766185{col 35}{space 2}  .083383{col 46}{space 1}    9.19{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .6027574{col 76}{space 3} .9296127
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0208756{col 35}{space 2} .0153506{col 46}{space 1}   -1.36{col 55}{space 3}0.174{col 63}{space 4}-.0509622{col 76}{space 3} .0092111
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0001499{col 35}{space 2} .0006578{col 46}{space 1}    0.23{col 55}{space 3}0.820{col 63}{space 4}-.0011393{col 76}{space 3} .0014391
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.09e-06{col 35}{space 2} 7.83e-06{col 46}{space 1}    0.27{col 55}{space 3}0.789{col 63}{space 4}-.0000133{col 76}{space 3} .0000174
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.254864{col 35}{space 2} .3370208{col 46}{space 1}   -6.69{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.915413{col 76}{space 3}-1.594315
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. esttab M9 M10 M11 M12, se(2) pr2 b(2) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)             (3)             (4)   
{txt}             yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A   
{txt}{hline 76}
{res}yrSalientM~A                                                                {txt}
{txt}ServSat1    {res}        -0.35***        -0.47**         -0.28***        -0.29** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.21{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}ServSat2    {res}        -0.37***        -0.30**         -0.40***        -0.33** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalientN~A{res}        -0.02           -0.03           -0.02*          -0.02   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_sq{res}         0.00            0.00            0.00            0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_cb{res}         0.00           -0.00            0.00            0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex1    {res}                         0.07***                         0.07***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex2    {res}                         0.04***                         0.04***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc1   {res}                        -0.19***                        -0.17***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc2   {res}                        -0.05                           -0.07** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lndist      {res}                        -0.03***                        -0.03***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem1        {res}                         0.12                            0.12   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem2        {res}                         0.28***                         0.26***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem_Both    {res}                        -0.52***                        -0.58***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.20{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.19{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}defense     {res}                        -0.16                           -0.15   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Strat_Riv   {res}                         0.78***                         0.77***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}post2000    {res}                                        -0.34***        -0.07   {txt}
            {res}                                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        -2.73***        -2.24***        -2.73***        -2.25***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.36{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.34{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}N           {res}       102716           79274          136194          105032   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.032           0.167           0.044           0.167   {txt}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
.  **Table A5: Replicate Table 1 with Seemingly Unrelated Bivariate Probit for Satellite Possession**
. 
. eststo M13: biprobit (yrSalientMIDs_SA    ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both     defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb) (ServSat1  HigherEd1 lnGDP1 GDPxHE1  CivSpaceBureau1 Dem1 lowRR_cnt1 majpow1 NoServSat1 NoServSat1_sq NoServSat1_cb) if PolRev==1 , robust

{txt}Fitting comparison equation 1:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-745.82165}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-645.67019}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-621.97043}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-620.15097}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-620.13117}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-620.13115}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting comparison equation 2:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -54137.38}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12177.649}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9682.4537}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9213.3126}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9161.9912}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9160.6887}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9160.6871}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9160.6871}  
{res}
{txt}Comparison:    log pseudolikelihood = {res}-9780.8182

{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9780.8182}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9779.6437}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9779.6194}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9779.6194}  
{res}
{txt}Seemingly unrelated bivariate probit{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}    96,573
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}26{txt}){col 67}= {res}  20052.23
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-9779.6194{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}yrSalientMIDs_SA      {txt}{c |}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4265152{col 35}{space 2} .1855436{col 46}{space 1}   -2.30{col 55}{space 3}0.022{col 63}{space 4} -.790174{col 76}{space 3}-.0628564
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3704732{col 35}{space 2} .1557388{col 46}{space 1}   -2.38{col 55}{space 3}0.017{col 63}{space 4}-.6757157{col 76}{space 3}-.0652307
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0966071{col 35}{space 2} .1202251{col 46}{space 1}   -0.80{col 55}{space 3}0.422{col 63}{space 4} -.332244{col 76}{space 3} .1390298
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .071118{col 35}{space 2} .0168801{col 46}{space 1}    4.21{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0380337{col 76}{space 3} .1042023
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .039771{col 35}{space 2} .0138531{col 46}{space 1}    2.87{col 55}{space 3}0.004{col 63}{space 4} .0126194{col 76}{space 3} .0669225
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1594501{col 35}{space 2}   .04152{col 46}{space 1}   -3.84{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2408278{col 76}{space 3}-.0780724
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0659061{col 35}{space 2} .0343109{col 46}{space 1}   -1.92{col 55}{space 3}0.055{col 63}{space 4}-.1331542{col 76}{space 3} .0013421
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.024834{col 35}{space 2} .0105056{col 46}{space 1}   -2.36{col 55}{space 3}0.018{col 63}{space 4}-.0454247{col 76}{space 3}-.0042434
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0963646{col 35}{space 2} .1127742{col 46}{space 1}    0.85{col 55}{space 3}0.393{col 63}{space 4}-.1246687{col 76}{space 3} .3173979
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2496558{col 35}{space 2}  .093742{col 46}{space 1}    2.66{col 55}{space 3}0.008{col 63}{space 4} .0659248{col 76}{space 3} .4333867
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.5718289{col 35}{space 2} .1907848{col 46}{space 1}   -3.00{col 55}{space 3}0.003{col 63}{space 4}-.9457602{col 76}{space 3}-.1978976
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1362868{col 35}{space 2} .1056987{col 46}{space 1}   -1.29{col 55}{space 3}0.197{col 63}{space 4}-.3434523{col 76}{space 3} .0708788
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7638065{col 35}{space 2} .0884458{col 46}{space 1}    8.64{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .5904559{col 76}{space 3} .9371572
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0242664{col 35}{space 2} .0174723{col 46}{space 1}   -1.39{col 55}{space 3}0.165{col 63}{space 4}-.0585115{col 76}{space 3} .0099788
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0001644{col 35}{space 2} .0007319{col 46}{space 1}    0.22{col 55}{space 3}0.822{col 63}{space 4}-.0012701{col 76}{space 3} .0015988
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 3.31e-06{col 35}{space 2} 8.21e-06{col 46}{space 1}    0.40{col 55}{space 3}0.687{col 63}{space 4}-.0000128{col 76}{space 3} .0000194
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.354773{col 35}{space 2} .3668085{col 46}{space 1}   -6.42{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-3.073704{col 76}{space 3}-1.635841
{txt}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}ServSat1              {txt}{c |}
{space 12}HigherEd1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1429071{col 35}{space 2} .0118489{col 46}{space 1}   12.06{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .1196838{col 76}{space 3} .1661305
{txt}{space 15}lnGDP1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5521106{col 35}{space 2} .0174568{col 46}{space 1}   31.63{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}  .517896{col 76}{space 3} .5863253
{txt}{space 14}GDPxHE1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0087882{col 35}{space 2}  .000838{col 46}{space 1}  -10.49{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0104305{col 76}{space 3}-.0071458
{txt}{space 6}CivSpaceBureau1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.225492{col 35}{space 2} .0456943{col 46}{space 1}   26.82{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.135933{col 76}{space 3} 1.315052
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4657526{col 35}{space 2} .0257664{col 46}{space 1}  -18.08{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.5162537{col 76}{space 3}-.4152514
{txt}{space 11}lowRR_cnt1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0015804{col 35}{space 2} .0005287{col 46}{space 1}    2.99{col 55}{space 3}0.003{col 63}{space 4} .0005441{col 76}{space 3} .0026167
{txt}{space 14}majpow1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0036159{col 35}{space 2} .0305084{col 46}{space 1}    0.12{col 55}{space 3}0.906{col 63}{space 4}-.0561795{col 76}{space 3} .0634113
{txt}{space 11}NoServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.367185{col 35}{space 2} .0061152{col 46}{space 1}  -60.05{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.3791705{col 76}{space 3}-.3551995
{txt}{space 8}NoServSat1_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0128487{col 35}{space 2} .0002994{col 46}{space 1}   42.91{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0122619{col 76}{space 3} .0134356
{txt}{space 8}NoServSat1_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0001285{col 35}{space 2} 3.90e-06{col 46}{space 1}  -32.96{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0001362{col 76}{space 3}-.0001209
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-7.503682{col 35}{space 2} .2004744{col 46}{space 1}  -37.43{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-7.896604{col 76}{space 3}-7.110759
{txt}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
              /athrho {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2992936{col 35}{space 2} .1439708{col 46}{space 1}    2.08{col 55}{space 3}0.038{col 63}{space 4}  .017116{col 76}{space 3} .5814711
{txt}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                  rho {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .290666{col 35}{space 2} .1318072{col 63}{space 4} .0171143{col 76}{space 3} .5237339
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of rho=0: chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}4.32161                     {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0376
{txt}
{com}. eststo M14: biprobit (yrSalientMIDs_SA    ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 lnmilex1 lnmilex2  lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both     defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb) (ServSat2  HigherEd2 lnGDP2 GDPxHE2 CivSpaceBureau2 Dem2 lowRR_cnt2 majpow2 NoServSat2 NoServSat2_sq NoServSat2_cb) if PolRev==1 , robust

{txt}Fitting comparison equation 1:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-711.01719}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -618.4473}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-595.01932}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-593.08927}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-593.06975}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-593.06972}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting comparison equation 2:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -54137.38}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12177.649}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9682.4537}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9213.3126}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9161.9912}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9160.6887}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9160.6871}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9160.6871}  
{res}
{txt}Comparison:    log pseudolikelihood = {res}-9753.7568

{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9753.7568}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9751.4813}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9750.6807}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9750.6774}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9750.6774}  
{res}
{txt}Seemingly unrelated bivariate probit{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}    96,573
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}26{txt}){col 67}= {res}  20074.48
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-9750.6774{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}yrSalientMIDs_SA      {txt}{c |}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4011007{col 35}{space 2} .1429669{col 46}{space 1}   -2.81{col 55}{space 3}0.005{col 63}{space 4}-.6813107{col 76}{space 3}-.1208907
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.6398894{col 35}{space 2} .3096925{col 46}{space 1}   -2.07{col 55}{space 3}0.039{col 63}{space 4}-1.246876{col 76}{space 3}-.0329032
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0605364{col 35}{space 2} .1332145{col 46}{space 1}   -0.45{col 55}{space 3}0.650{col 63}{space 4} -.321632{col 76}{space 3} .2005592
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0651559{col 35}{space 2} .0159074{col 46}{space 1}    4.10{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}  .033978{col 76}{space 3} .0963337
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0517522{col 35}{space 2} .0197279{col 46}{space 1}    2.62{col 55}{space 3}0.009{col 63}{space 4} .0130862{col 76}{space 3} .0904182
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1859979{col 35}{space 2} .0419214{col 46}{space 1}   -4.44{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2681622{col 76}{space 3}-.1038335
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0393128{col 35}{space 2} .0377462{col 46}{space 1}   -1.04{col 55}{space 3}0.298{col 63}{space 4}-.1132939{col 76}{space 3} .0346683
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0265481{col 35}{space 2}  .011048{col 46}{space 1}   -2.40{col 55}{space 3}0.016{col 63}{space 4}-.0482018{col 76}{space 3}-.0048944
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1684844{col 35}{space 2} .1154842{col 46}{space 1}    1.46{col 55}{space 3}0.145{col 63}{space 4}-.0578605{col 76}{space 3} .3948292
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2409458{col 35}{space 2} .0988043{col 46}{space 1}    2.44{col 55}{space 3}0.015{col 63}{space 4}  .047293{col 76}{space 3} .4345986
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.5728817{col 35}{space 2} .1907361{col 46}{space 1}   -3.00{col 55}{space 3}0.003{col 63}{space 4}-.9467176{col 76}{space 3}-.1990458
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2111571{col 35}{space 2}  .108669{col 46}{space 1}   -1.94{col 55}{space 3}0.052{col 63}{space 4}-.4241444{col 76}{space 3} .0018302
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7202221{col 35}{space 2}  .092552{col 46}{space 1}    7.78{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .5388235{col 76}{space 3} .9016206
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0336611{col 35}{space 2} .0196755{col 46}{space 1}   -1.71{col 55}{space 3}0.087{col 63}{space 4}-.0722243{col 76}{space 3} .0049021
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0005633{col 35}{space 2} .0008095{col 46}{space 1}    0.70{col 55}{space 3}0.486{col 63}{space 4}-.0010232{col 76}{space 3} .0021499
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-7.86e-07{col 35}{space 2} 9.04e-06{col 46}{space 1}   -0.09{col 55}{space 3}0.931{col 63}{space 4}-.0000185{col 76}{space 3} .0000169
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.382697{col 35}{space 2} .3928472{col 46}{space 1}   -6.07{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-3.152664{col 76}{space 3}-1.612731
{txt}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}ServSat2              {txt}{c |}
{space 12}HigherEd2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1429087{col 35}{space 2} .0118463{col 46}{space 1}   12.06{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .1196904{col 76}{space 3}  .166127
{txt}{space 15}lnGDP2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5525676{col 35}{space 2} .0174464{col 46}{space 1}   31.67{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .5183733{col 76}{space 3} .5867618
{txt}{space 14}GDPxHE2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.008791{col 35}{space 2} .0008377{col 46}{space 1}  -10.49{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} -.010433{col 76}{space 3}-.0071491
{txt}{space 6}CivSpaceBureau2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.223412{col 35}{space 2} .0456763{col 46}{space 1}   26.78{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.133888{col 76}{space 3} 1.312936
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4647859{col 35}{space 2} .0257591{col 46}{space 1}  -18.04{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.5152728{col 76}{space 3}-.4142991
{txt}{space 11}lowRR_cnt2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0015769{col 35}{space 2} .0005285{col 46}{space 1}    2.98{col 55}{space 3}0.003{col 63}{space 4} .0005411{col 76}{space 3} .0026127
{txt}{space 14}majpow2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0033572{col 35}{space 2} .0305136{col 46}{space 1}    0.11{col 55}{space 3}0.912{col 63}{space 4}-.0564483{col 76}{space 3} .0631627
{txt}{space 11}NoServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3668867{col 35}{space 2} .0061157{col 46}{space 1}  -59.99{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.3788733{col 76}{space 3}   -.3549
{txt}{space 8}NoServSat2_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0128354{col 35}{space 2} .0002993{col 46}{space 1}   42.89{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0122488{col 76}{space 3} .0134219
{txt}{space 8}NoServSat2_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0001284{col 35}{space 2} 3.89e-06{col 46}{space 1}  -32.96{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} -.000136{col 76}{space 3}-.0001207
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-7.508224{col 35}{space 2} .2002837{col 46}{space 1}  -37.49{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-7.900773{col 76}{space 3}-7.115675
{txt}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
              /athrho {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5685307{col 35}{space 2} .2684393{col 46}{space 1}    2.12{col 55}{space 3}0.034{col 63}{space 4} .0423993{col 76}{space 3} 1.094662
{txt}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                  rho {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5142794{col 35}{space 2} .1974416{col 63}{space 4} .0423739{col 76}{space 3} .7985734
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of rho=0: chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}4.48555                     {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0342
{txt}
{com}. esttab M13 M14, se(2) pr2 b(2) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01) 
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A   
{txt}{hline 44}
{res}yrSalientM~A                                {txt}
{txt}ServSat1    {res}        -0.43**         -0.40***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.19{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}ServSat2    {res}        -0.37**         -0.64** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.16{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.31{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}post2000    {res}        -0.10           -0.06   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex1    {res}         0.07***         0.07***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex2    {res}         0.04***         0.05***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc1   {res}        -0.16***        -0.19***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc2   {res}        -0.07*          -0.04   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lndist      {res}        -0.02**         -0.03** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem1        {res}         0.10            0.17   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem2        {res}         0.25***         0.24** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem_Both    {res}        -0.57***        -0.57***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.19{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.19{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}defense     {res}        -0.14           -0.21*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Strat_Riv   {res}         0.76***         0.72***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalientN~A{res}        -0.02           -0.03*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_sq{res}         0.00            0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_cb{res}         0.00           -0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        -2.35***        -2.38***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.37{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.39{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}ServSat1                                    {txt}
{txt}HigherEd1   {res}         0.14***                {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}                   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP1      {res}         0.55***                {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}                   {txt}

{txt}GDPxHE1     {res}        -0.01***                {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}                   {txt}

{txt}CivSpaceBu~1{res}         1.23***                {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}                   {txt}

{txt}Dem1        {res}        -0.47***                {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}                   {txt}

{txt}lowRR_cnt1  {res}         0.00***                {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}                   {txt}

{txt}majpow1     {res}         0.00                   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}                   {txt}

{txt}NoServSat1  {res}        -0.37***                {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}                   {txt}

{txt}NoServSat1~q{res}         0.01***                {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}                   {txt}

{txt}NoServSat1~b{res}        -0.00***                {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}                   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        -7.50***                {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.20{txt:)}}                   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}athrho                                      {txt}
{txt}_cons       {res}         0.30**          0.57** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.27{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}ServSat2                                    {txt}
{txt}HigherEd2   {res}                         0.14***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP2      {res}                         0.55***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}GDPxHE2     {res}                        -0.01***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}CivSpaceBu~2{res}                         1.22***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem2        {res}                        -0.46***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lowRR_cnt2  {res}                         0.00***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}majpow2     {res}                         0.00   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}NoServSat2  {res}                        -0.37***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}NoServSat2~q{res}                         0.01***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}NoServSat2~b{res}                        -0.00***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}                        -7.51***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.20{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}        96573           96573   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}                                {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. **Table A6: Replicate Table 1 with Multivariate Probit for Satellite Possession for Both Dyad Members**
. eststo M14a: mvprobit (yrSalientMIDs_SA    ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 lnmilex1 lnmilex2  lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both     defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb) (ServSat1  HigherEd1 lnGDP1 GDPxHE1  CivSpaceBureau1 Dem1 lowRR_cnt1 majpow1 NoServSat1 NoServSat1_sq NoServSat1_cb) (ServSat2  HigherEd2 lnGDP2 GDPxHE2 CivSpaceBureau2 Dem2 lowRR_cnt2 majpow2 NoServSat2 NoServSat2_sq NoServSat2_cb) if PolRev==1 , robust

{txt}Iteration 0:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-16378.153{txt}  
Iteration 1:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-16370.729{txt}  
Iteration 2:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-16370.726{txt}  
Iteration 3:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-16370.726{txt}  
{res}
{txt}Multivariate probit (SML, # draws = 5){col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     88944
{col 51}{txt}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}  36454.97
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-16370.726{col 51}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}yrSalientMIDs_SA      {txt}{c |}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3893496{col 35}{space 2} .1465643{col 46}{space 1}   -2.66{col 55}{space 3}0.008{col 63}{space 4}-.6766103{col 76}{space 3}-.1020889
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3763443{col 35}{space 2}  .160717{col 46}{space 1}   -2.34{col 55}{space 3}0.019{col 63}{space 4}-.6913438{col 76}{space 3}-.0613448
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.167213{col 35}{space 2} .1218615{col 46}{space 1}   -1.37{col 55}{space 3}0.170{col 63}{space 4}-.4060571{col 76}{space 3} .0716311
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .063526{col 35}{space 2} .0158991{col 46}{space 1}    4.00{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0323643{col 76}{space 3} .0946876
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .037862{col 35}{space 2} .0143199{col 46}{space 1}    2.64{col 55}{space 3}0.008{col 63}{space 4} .0097956{col 76}{space 3} .0659285
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1955545{col 35}{space 2} .0429564{col 46}{space 1}   -4.55{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.2797475{col 76}{space 3}-.1113616
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0708802{col 35}{space 2} .0354286{col 46}{space 1}   -2.00{col 55}{space 3}0.045{col 63}{space 4} -.140319{col 76}{space 3}-.0014414
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0237363{col 35}{space 2} .0110902{col 46}{space 1}   -2.14{col 55}{space 3}0.032{col 63}{space 4}-.0454728{col 76}{space 3}-.0019998
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1655006{col 35}{space 2} .1150753{col 46}{space 1}    1.44{col 55}{space 3}0.150{col 63}{space 4}-.0600428{col 76}{space 3} .3910439
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2707695{col 35}{space 2} .0980029{col 46}{space 1}    2.76{col 55}{space 3}0.006{col 63}{space 4} .0786874{col 76}{space 3} .4628516
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.5925812{col 35}{space 2} .1947048{col 46}{space 1}   -3.04{col 55}{space 3}0.002{col 63}{space 4}-.9741956{col 76}{space 3}-.2109669
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1890647{col 35}{space 2} .1119673{col 46}{space 1}   -1.69{col 55}{space 3}0.091{col 63}{space 4}-.4085166{col 76}{space 3} .0303871
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7855394{col 35}{space 2} .0931274{col 46}{space 1}    8.44{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}  .603013{col 76}{space 3} .9680658
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0172957{col 35}{space 2} .0164381{col 46}{space 1}   -1.05{col 55}{space 3}0.293{col 63}{space 4}-.0495138{col 76}{space 3} .0149224
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0002138{col 35}{space 2} .0006937{col 46}{space 1}   -0.31{col 55}{space 3}0.758{col 63}{space 4}-.0015734{col 76}{space 3} .0011457
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 8.64e-06{col 35}{space 2} 7.81e-06{col 46}{space 1}    1.11{col 55}{space 3}0.269{col 63}{space 4}-6.68e-06{col 76}{space 3}  .000024
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.962103{col 35}{space 2} .3789612{col 46}{space 1}   -5.18{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.704853{col 76}{space 3}-1.219352
{txt}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}ServSat1              {txt}{c |}
{space 12}HigherEd1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .145296{col 35}{space 2} .0123569{col 46}{space 1}   11.76{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .1210769{col 76}{space 3} .1695151
{txt}{space 15}lnGDP1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .552467{col 35}{space 2} .0185555{col 46}{space 1}   29.77{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .5160989{col 76}{space 3} .5888351
{txt}{space 14}GDPxHE1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0091113{col 35}{space 2} .0008777{col 46}{space 1}  -10.38{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0108317{col 76}{space 3} -.007391
{txt}{space 6}CivSpaceBureau1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.261171{col 35}{space 2} .0491024{col 46}{space 1}   25.68{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.164932{col 76}{space 3}  1.35741
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4362885{col 35}{space 2} .0277533{col 46}{space 1}  -15.72{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.4906839{col 76}{space 3}-.3818931
{txt}{space 11}lowRR_cnt1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0014694{col 35}{space 2}  .000564{col 46}{space 1}    2.61{col 55}{space 3}0.009{col 63}{space 4}  .000364{col 76}{space 3} .0025748
{txt}{space 14}majpow1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0014485{col 35}{space 2} .0315407{col 46}{space 1}    0.05{col 55}{space 3}0.963{col 63}{space 4}-.0603702{col 76}{space 3} .0632672
{txt}{space 11}NoServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3627697{col 35}{space 2}  .006506{col 46}{space 1}  -55.76{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.3755213{col 76}{space 3}-.3500182
{txt}{space 8}NoServSat1_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0124653{col 35}{space 2} .0003111{col 46}{space 1}   40.07{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0118555{col 76}{space 3} .0130751
{txt}{space 8}NoServSat1_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0001229{col 35}{space 2} 3.96e-06{col 46}{space 1}  -31.03{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0001307{col 76}{space 3}-.0001151
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-7.503973{col 35}{space 2} .2114121{col 46}{space 1}  -35.49{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-7.918333{col 76}{space 3}-7.089613
{txt}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}ServSat2              {txt}{c |}
{space 12}HigherEd2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1452518{col 35}{space 2} .0123695{col 46}{space 1}   11.74{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .1210081{col 76}{space 3} .1694955
{txt}{space 15}lnGDP2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5521212{col 35}{space 2} .0185566{col 46}{space 1}   29.75{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .5157509{col 76}{space 3} .5884915
{txt}{space 14}GDPxHE2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0091088{col 35}{space 2} .0008788{col 46}{space 1}  -10.37{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0108312{col 76}{space 3}-.0073865
{txt}{space 6}CivSpaceBureau2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.261316{col 35}{space 2} .0490928{col 46}{space 1}   25.69{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.165096{col 76}{space 3} 1.357536
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4356695{col 35}{space 2} .0277621{col 46}{space 1}  -15.69{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.4900823{col 76}{space 3}-.3812568
{txt}{space 11}lowRR_cnt2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0014821{col 35}{space 2} .0005642{col 46}{space 1}    2.63{col 55}{space 3}0.009{col 63}{space 4} .0003763{col 76}{space 3}  .002588
{txt}{space 14}majpow2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0011187{col 35}{space 2} .0315717{col 46}{space 1}    0.04{col 55}{space 3}0.972{col 63}{space 4}-.0607607{col 76}{space 3} .0629981
{txt}{space 11}NoServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3628296{col 35}{space 2} .0065028{col 46}{space 1}  -55.80{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.3755748{col 76}{space 3}-.3500845
{txt}{space 8}NoServSat2_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0124682{col 35}{space 2}  .000311{col 46}{space 1}   40.09{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0118587{col 76}{space 3} .0130778
{txt}{space 8}NoServSat2_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.000123{col 35}{space 2} 3.96e-06{col 46}{space 1}  -31.05{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.0001307{col 76}{space 3}-.0001152
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-7.499824{col 35}{space 2} .2112574{col 46}{space 1}  -35.50{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-7.913881{col 76}{space 3}-7.085767
{txt}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{col 1}{text}    /atrho21{col 14}{c |}{result}{space 2} .0189175{col 26}{space 2} .0260765{col 37}{space 1}    0.73{col 46}{space 3}0.468{col 55}{space 3}-.0321915{col 67}{space 3} .0700264
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
{res}{col 1}{text}    /atrho31{col 14}{c |}{result}{space 2} .0164238{col 26}{space 2} .0234454{col 37}{space 1}    0.70{col 46}{space 3}0.484{col 55}{space 3}-.0295283{col 67}{space 3} .0623758
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
{res}{col 1}{text}    /atrho32{col 14}{c |}{result}{space 2} .0854654{col 26}{space 2} .0215192{col 37}{space 1}    3.97{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 3} .0432886{col 67}{space 3} .1276422
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
{res}{col 1}{text}       rho21{col 14}{c |}{result}{space 2} .0189152{col 26}{space 2} .0260672{col 37}{space 1}    0.73{col 46}{space 3}0.468{col 55}{space 3}-.0321804{col 67}{space 3} .0699122
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
{res}{col 1}{text}       rho31{col 14}{c |}{result}{space 2} .0164223{col 26}{space 2}  .023439{col 37}{space 1}    0.70{col 46}{space 3}0.484{col 55}{space 3}-.0295197{col 67}{space 3} .0622951
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
{res}{col 1}{text}       rho32{col 14}{c |}{result}{space 2} .0852579{col 26}{space 2} .0213627{col 37}{space 1}    3.99{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 3} .0432616{col 67}{space 3} .1269534
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
Likelihood ratio test of  rho21 = rho31 = rho32 = 0:  
             chi2({res}3{txt}) = {res} 14.8547{txt}   Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0019
{txt}
{com}. esttab M14a, se(2) pr2 b(2) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01) 
{res}
{txt}{hline 28}
{txt}                      (1)   
{txt}             yrSalientM~A   
{txt}{hline 28}
{res}yrSalientM~A                {txt}
{txt}ServSat1    {res}        -0.39***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}ServSat2    {res}        -0.38** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.16{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}post2000    {res}        -0.17   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex1    {res}         0.06***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex2    {res}         0.04***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc1   {res}        -0.20***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc2   {res}        -0.07** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lndist      {res}        -0.02** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem1        {res}         0.17   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem2        {res}         0.27***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem_Both    {res}        -0.59***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.19{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}defense     {res}        -0.19*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Strat_Riv   {res}         0.79***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalientN~A{res}        -0.02   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_sq{res}        -0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_cb{res}         0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        -1.96***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.38{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 28}
{res}ServSat1                    {txt}
{txt}HigherEd1   {res}         0.15***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP1      {res}         0.55***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}GDPxHE1     {res}        -0.01***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}CivSpaceBu~1{res}         1.26***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem1        {res}        -0.44***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lowRR_cnt1  {res}         0.00***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}majpow1     {res}         0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}NoServSat1  {res}        -0.36***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}NoServSat1~q{res}         0.01***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}NoServSat1~b{res}        -0.00***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        -7.50***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.21{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 28}
{res}ServSat2                    {txt}
{txt}HigherEd2   {res}         0.15***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP2      {res}         0.55***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}GDPxHE2     {res}        -0.01***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}CivSpaceBu~2{res}         1.26***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem2        {res}        -0.44***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lowRR_cnt2  {res}         0.00***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}majpow2     {res}         0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}NoServSat2  {res}        -0.36***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}NoServSat2~q{res}         0.01***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}NoServSat2~b{res}        -0.00***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        -7.50***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.21{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 28}
{res}atrho21                     {txt}
{txt}_cons       {res}         0.02   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 28}
{res}atrho31                     {txt}
{txt}_cons       {res}         0.02   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 28}
{res}atrho32                     {txt}
{txt}_cons       {res}         0.09***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 28}
{txt}N           {res}        88944   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}                {txt}
{txt}{hline 28}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
.  
. **Table A7: Sample of Satellite Countries Only**
. eststo M15: relogit  yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if SatelliteCountries==1 & year<=2000 &  PolRev==1


{txt}Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}    85996

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.057132{col 35}{space 2} .3687784{col 46}{space 1}   -2.87{col 55}{space 3}0.004{col 63}{space 4}-1.779925{col 76}{space 3}-.3343399
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.171206{col 35}{space 2}  .380428{col 46}{space 1}   -3.08{col 55}{space 3}0.002{col 63}{space 4}-1.916832{col 76}{space 3}-.4255812
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0505278{col 35}{space 2} .0503012{col 46}{space 1}   -1.00{col 55}{space 3}0.315{col 63}{space 4}-.1491163{col 76}{space 3} .0480607
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0004917{col 35}{space 2} .0029741{col 46}{space 1}   -0.17{col 55}{space 3}0.869{col 63}{space 4}-.0063208{col 76}{space 3} .0053373
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000258{col 35}{space 2} .0000456{col 46}{space 1}    0.57{col 55}{space 3}0.572{col 63}{space 4}-.0000636{col 76}{space 3} .0001151
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-5.751634{col 35}{space 2} .2237977{col 46}{space 1}  -25.70{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} -6.19027{col 76}{space 3}-5.312999
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M16: relogit     yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2              lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if SatelliteCountries==1 & year<=2000 &  PolRev==1
{txt}(416,144 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}    65168

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.266853{col 35}{space 2} .7429574{col 46}{space 1}   -1.71{col 55}{space 3}0.088{col 63}{space 4}-2.723023{col 76}{space 3} .1893163
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.8053751{col 35}{space 2} .4883551{col 46}{space 1}   -1.65{col 55}{space 3}0.099{col 63}{space 4}-1.762534{col 76}{space 3} .1517834
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1352616{col 35}{space 2} .0516039{col 46}{space 1}    2.62{col 55}{space 3}0.009{col 63}{space 4} .0341198{col 76}{space 3} .2364035
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0409547{col 35}{space 2} .0484446{col 46}{space 1}    0.85{col 55}{space 3}0.398{col 63}{space 4}-.0539951{col 76}{space 3} .1359044
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.5365724{col 35}{space 2} .1329961{col 46}{space 1}   -4.03{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}  -.79724{col 76}{space 3}-.2759048
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0210451{col 35}{space 2}  .110436{col 46}{space 1}   -0.19{col 55}{space 3}0.849{col 63}{space 4}-.2374958{col 76}{space 3} .1954055
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1111521{col 35}{space 2} .0433983{col 46}{space 1}   -2.56{col 55}{space 3}0.010{col 63}{space 4}-.1962112{col 76}{space 3} -.026093
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .218994{col 35}{space 2} .4160302{col 46}{space 1}    0.53{col 55}{space 3}0.599{col 63}{space 4}-.5964103{col 76}{space 3} 1.034398
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .6972736{col 35}{space 2} .3076253{col 46}{space 1}    2.27{col 55}{space 3}0.023{col 63}{space 4} .0943392{col 76}{space 3} 1.300208
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.378378{col 35}{space 2} .6800716{col 46}{space 1}   -2.03{col 55}{space 3}0.043{col 63}{space 4}-2.711293{col 76}{space 3}-.0454617
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4343954{col 35}{space 2} .4479213{col 46}{space 1}   -0.97{col 55}{space 3}0.332{col 63}{space 4}-1.312305{col 76}{space 3} .4435143
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.114626{col 35}{space 2} .3729474{col 46}{space 1}    5.67{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.383662{col 76}{space 3} 2.845589
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0839305{col 35}{space 2} .0597376{col 46}{space 1}   -1.40{col 55}{space 3}0.160{col 63}{space 4}-.2010139{col 76}{space 3}  .033153
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .001872{col 35}{space 2}  .003229{col 46}{space 1}    0.58{col 55}{space 3}0.562{col 63}{space 4}-.0044568{col 76}{space 3} .0082008
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0000199{col 35}{space 2} .0000467{col 46}{space 1}   -0.43{col 55}{space 3}0.670{col 63}{space 4}-.0001115{col 76}{space 3} .0000716
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-3.282382{col 35}{space 2} 1.296602{col 46}{space 1}   -2.53{col 55}{space 3}0.011{col 63}{space 4}-5.823675{col 76}{space 3}-.7410898
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M17: relogit  yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if SatelliteCountries==1 &   PolRev==1


{txt}Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   114634

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.9236086{col 35}{space 2} .3021122{col 46}{space 1}   -3.06{col 55}{space 3}0.002{col 63}{space 4}-1.515738{col 76}{space 3}-.3314796
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.359231{col 35}{space 2}  .388406{col 46}{space 1}   -3.50{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.120493{col 76}{space 3}-.5979694
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.8901431{col 35}{space 2} .4155351{col 46}{space 1}   -2.14{col 55}{space 3}0.032{col 63}{space 4}-1.704577{col 76}{space 3}-.0757092
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0701065{col 35}{space 2} .0384612{col 46}{space 1}   -1.82{col 55}{space 3}0.068{col 63}{space 4} -.145489{col 76}{space 3}  .005276
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0006124{col 35}{space 2} .0017186{col 46}{space 1}    0.36{col 55}{space 3}0.722{col 63}{space 4} -.002756{col 76}{space 3} .0039809
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000116{col 35}{space 2} .0000208{col 46}{space 1}    0.56{col 55}{space 3}0.578{col 63}{space 4}-.0000292{col 76}{space 3} .0000524
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-5.714258{col 35}{space 2} .2070416{col 46}{space 1}  -27.60{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-6.120052{col 76}{space 3}-5.308464
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M18: relogit     yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if SatelliteCountries==1 &  PolRev==1
{txt}(416,144 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}    87428

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.8085403{col 35}{space 2} .4311125{col 46}{space 1}   -1.88{col 55}{space 3}0.061{col 63}{space 4}-1.653505{col 76}{space 3} .0364246
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.031307{col 35}{space 2} .4987962{col 46}{space 1}   -2.07{col 55}{space 3}0.039{col 63}{space 4} -2.00893{col 76}{space 3}-.0536848
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0715742{col 35}{space 2}  .435908{col 46}{space 1}    0.16{col 55}{space 3}0.870{col 63}{space 4}-.7827898{col 76}{space 3} .9259382
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1257262{col 35}{space 2} .0516116{col 46}{space 1}    2.44{col 55}{space 3}0.015{col 63}{space 4} .0245693{col 76}{space 3} .2268832
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0429228{col 35}{space 2} .0453595{col 46}{space 1}    0.95{col 55}{space 3}0.344{col 63}{space 4}-.0459801{col 76}{space 3} .1318257
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4957438{col 35}{space 2} .1294169{col 46}{space 1}   -3.83{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.7493962{col 76}{space 3}-.2420914
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0946968{col 35}{space 2}  .109291{col 46}{space 1}   -0.87{col 55}{space 3}0.386{col 63}{space 4}-.3089033{col 76}{space 3} .1195097
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1000458{col 35}{space 2} .0418906{col 46}{space 1}   -2.39{col 55}{space 3}0.017{col 63}{space 4}-.1821498{col 76}{space 3}-.0179417
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2926366{col 35}{space 2} .3756964{col 46}{space 1}    0.78{col 55}{space 3}0.436{col 63}{space 4}-.4437147{col 76}{space 3} 1.028988
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .6604556{col 35}{space 2} .3025231{col 46}{space 1}    2.18{col 55}{space 3}0.029{col 63}{space 4} .0675212{col 76}{space 3}  1.25339
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.673366{col 35}{space 2} .6673675{col 46}{space 1}   -2.51{col 55}{space 3}0.012{col 63}{space 4}-2.981383{col 76}{space 3}-.3653499
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2894572{col 35}{space 2} .4216987{col 46}{space 1}   -0.69{col 55}{space 3}0.492{col 63}{space 4}-1.115971{col 76}{space 3}  .537057
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.157518{col 35}{space 2} .3579077{col 46}{space 1}    6.03{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.456032{col 76}{space 3} 2.859004
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0657438{col 35}{space 2} .0506164{col 46}{space 1}   -1.30{col 55}{space 3}0.194{col 63}{space 4}  -.16495{col 76}{space 3} .0334625
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0003499{col 35}{space 2}    .0023{col 46}{space 1}    0.15{col 55}{space 3}0.879{col 63}{space 4} -.004158{col 76}{space 3} .0048578
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 9.54e-06{col 35}{space 2} .0000285{col 46}{space 1}    0.34{col 55}{space 3}0.737{col 63}{space 4}-.0000463{col 76}{space 3} .0000653
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -3.01006{col 35}{space 2} 1.261152{col 46}{space 1}   -2.39{col 55}{space 3}0.017{col 63}{space 4}-5.481872{col 76}{space 3}-.5382474
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. esttab M15 M16 M17 M18, se(2) pr2 b(2) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01) 
{res}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)             (3)             (4)   
{txt}             yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A   
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}ServSat1    {res}        -1.06***        -1.27*          -0.92***        -0.81*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.37{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.74{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.30{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.43{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}ServSat2    {res}        -1.17***        -0.81*          -1.36***        -1.03** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.38{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.39{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.50{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalientN~A{res}        -0.05           -0.08           -0.07*          -0.07   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_sq{res}        -0.00            0.00            0.00            0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_cb{res}         0.00           -0.00            0.00            0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex1    {res}                         0.14***                         0.13** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex2    {res}                         0.04                            0.04   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc1   {res}                        -0.54***                        -0.50***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc2   {res}                        -0.02                           -0.09   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lndist      {res}                        -0.11**                         -0.10** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem1        {res}                         0.22                            0.29   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.42{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.38{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem2        {res}                         0.70**                          0.66** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.31{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.30{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem_Both    {res}                        -1.38**                         -1.67** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.68{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.67{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}defense     {res}                        -0.43                           -0.29   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.45{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.42{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Strat_Riv   {res}                         2.11***                         2.16***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.37{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.36{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}post2000    {res}                                        -0.89**          0.07   {txt}
            {res}                                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.42{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        -5.75***        -3.28**         -5.71***        -3.01** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.22{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.30{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.21{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.26{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}N           {res}        85996           65168          114634           87428   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}                                                                {txt}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. **Table A8: Replicate Table 1 without GDP Per Capita Variables**
. eststo M19: relogit  yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1 & year<=2000


{txt}Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   102716

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.133139{col 35}{space 2} .3564584{col 46}{space 1}   -3.18{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-1.831785{col 76}{space 3}-.4344935
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.246797{col 35}{space 2} .3724592{col 46}{space 1}   -3.35{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-1.976804{col 76}{space 3}-.5167907
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0526938{col 35}{space 2} .0441872{col 46}{space 1}   -1.19{col 55}{space 3}0.233{col 63}{space 4} -.139299{col 76}{space 3} .0339115
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000919{col 35}{space 2} .0025304{col 46}{space 1}    0.04{col 55}{space 3}0.971{col 63}{space 4}-.0048676{col 76}{space 3} .0050514
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000134{col 35}{space 2} .0000387{col 46}{space 1}    0.35{col 55}{space 3}0.730{col 63}{space 4}-.0000625{col 76}{space 3} .0000893
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-5.720236{col 35}{space 2} .1994168{col 46}{space 1}  -28.68{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-6.111086{col 76}{space 3}-5.329386
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M20: relogit     yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2              lnmilex1 lnmilex2  lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1 & year<=2000
{txt}(409,878 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}    79532

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.581182{col 35}{space 2} .7452855{col 46}{space 1}   -2.12{col 55}{space 3}0.034{col 63}{space 4}-3.041915{col 76}{space 3}-.1204494
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.8952812{col 35}{space 2} .4988245{col 46}{space 1}   -1.79{col 55}{space 3}0.073{col 63}{space 4}-1.872959{col 76}{space 3} .0823968
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1208396{col 35}{space 2} .0431338{col 46}{space 1}    2.80{col 55}{space 3}0.005{col 63}{space 4} .0362988{col 76}{space 3} .2053803
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0571099{col 35}{space 2} .0371289{col 46}{space 1}    1.54{col 55}{space 3}0.124{col 63}{space 4}-.0156614{col 76}{space 3} .1298811
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0703133{col 35}{space 2} .0379627{col 46}{space 1}   -1.85{col 55}{space 3}0.064{col 63}{space 4}-.1447188{col 76}{space 3} .0040923
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.266139{col 35}{space 2} .3899159{col 46}{space 1}   -0.68{col 55}{space 3}0.495{col 63}{space 4} -1.03036{col 76}{space 3} .4980821
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .6822776{col 35}{space 2} .2657782{col 46}{space 1}    2.57{col 55}{space 3}0.010{col 63}{space 4} .1613619{col 76}{space 3} 1.203193
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -1.68999{col 35}{space 2} .6709044{col 46}{space 1}   -2.52{col 55}{space 3}0.012{col 63}{space 4}-3.004938{col 76}{space 3}-.3750412
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.7395313{col 35}{space 2} .3053805{col 46}{space 1}   -2.42{col 55}{space 3}0.015{col 63}{space 4}-1.338066{col 76}{space 3}-.1409966
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.397086{col 35}{space 2} .2843667{col 46}{space 1}    8.43{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.839737{col 76}{space 3} 2.954434
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.084259{col 35}{space 2} .0523798{col 46}{space 1}   -1.61{col 55}{space 3}0.108{col 63}{space 4}-.1869215{col 76}{space 3} .0184034
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0020035{col 35}{space 2} .0027394{col 46}{space 1}    0.73{col 55}{space 3}0.465{col 63}{space 4}-.0033657{col 76}{space 3} .0073727
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0000206{col 35}{space 2} .0000401{col 46}{space 1}   -0.51{col 55}{space 3}0.607{col 63}{space 4}-.0000991{col 76}{space 3}  .000058
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-8.025377{col 35}{space 2}  .687359{col 46}{space 1}  -11.68{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-9.372576{col 76}{space 3}-6.678178
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M21: relogit  yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1  


{txt}Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   136194

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.9293438{col 35}{space 2} .2847502{col 46}{space 1}   -3.26{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-1.487444{col 76}{space 3}-.3712437
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.363085{col 35}{space 2}  .364673{col 46}{space 1}   -3.74{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.077831{col 76}{space 3} -.648339
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -1.14739{col 35}{space 2} .3642939{col 46}{space 1}   -3.15{col 55}{space 3}0.002{col 63}{space 4}-1.861393{col 76}{space 3} -.433387
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0599379{col 35}{space 2} .0349629{col 46}{space 1}   -1.71{col 55}{space 3}0.086{col 63}{space 4}-.1284639{col 76}{space 3}  .008588
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0002876{col 35}{space 2} .0015414{col 46}{space 1}    0.19{col 55}{space 3}0.852{col 63}{space 4}-.0027334{col 76}{space 3} .0033087
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000141{col 35}{space 2} .0000186{col 46}{space 1}    0.76{col 55}{space 3}0.447{col 63}{space 4}-.0000223{col 76}{space 3} .0000505
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -5.71356{col 35}{space 2} .1873433{col 46}{space 1}  -30.50{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-6.080747{col 76}{space 3}-5.346374
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M22: relogit     yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 lnmilex1 lnmilex2  lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1
{txt}(409,878 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   105506

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.077569{col 35}{space 2} .4443511{col 46}{space 1}   -2.43{col 55}{space 3}0.015{col 63}{space 4}-1.948481{col 76}{space 3}-.2066566
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.061363{col 35}{space 2} .4905919{col 46}{space 1}   -2.16{col 55}{space 3}0.031{col 63}{space 4}-2.022905{col 76}{space 3}  -.09982
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4369709{col 35}{space 2}  .378547{col 46}{space 1}   -1.15{col 55}{space 3}0.248{col 63}{space 4}-1.178909{col 76}{space 3} .3049676
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1170632{col 35}{space 2} .0428167{col 46}{space 1}    2.73{col 55}{space 3}0.006{col 63}{space 4} .0331441{col 76}{space 3} .2009823
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0558053{col 35}{space 2} .0356389{col 46}{space 1}    1.57{col 55}{space 3}0.117{col 63}{space 4}-.0140455{col 76}{space 3} .1256562
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0739628{col 35}{space 2} .0361093{col 46}{space 1}   -2.05{col 55}{space 3}0.041{col 63}{space 4}-.1447356{col 76}{space 3}-.0031899
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1802788{col 35}{space 2} .3497229{col 46}{space 1}   -0.52{col 55}{space 3}0.606{col 63}{space 4}-.8657232{col 76}{space 3} .5051655
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5789107{col 35}{space 2} .2596306{col 46}{space 1}    2.23{col 55}{space 3}0.026{col 63}{space 4} .0700442{col 76}{space 3} 1.087777
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -1.93735{col 35}{space 2} .6614036{col 46}{space 1}   -2.93{col 55}{space 3}0.003{col 63}{space 4}-3.233677{col 76}{space 3}-.6410228
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.7384505{col 35}{space 2} .2997666{col 46}{space 1}   -2.46{col 55}{space 3}0.014{col 63}{space 4}-1.325982{col 76}{space 3}-.1509187
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  2.39221{col 35}{space 2} .2701212{col 46}{space 1}    8.86{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.862783{col 76}{space 3} 2.921638
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0704121{col 35}{space 2} .0452089{col 46}{space 1}   -1.56{col 55}{space 3}0.119{col 63}{space 4}  -.15902{col 76}{space 3} .0181958
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .000712{col 35}{space 2} .0019698{col 46}{space 1}    0.36{col 55}{space 3}0.718{col 63}{space 4}-.0031487{col 76}{space 3} .0045727
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 5.78e-06{col 35}{space 2} .0000237{col 46}{space 1}    0.24{col 55}{space 3}0.807{col 63}{space 4}-.0000407{col 76}{space 3} .0000523
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-7.964839{col 35}{space 2} .6596141{col 46}{space 1}  -12.07{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-9.257659{col 76}{space 3}-6.672019
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M19 M20 M21 M22, se(2) pr2 b(2) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01) 
{res}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)             (3)             (4)   
{txt}             yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A   
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}ServSat1    {res}        -1.13***        -1.58**         -0.93***        -1.08** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.36{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.75{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.28{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}ServSat2    {res}        -1.25***        -0.90*          -1.36***        -1.06** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.37{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.50{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.36{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalientN~A{res}        -0.05           -0.08           -0.06*          -0.07   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_sq{res}         0.00            0.00            0.00            0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_cb{res}         0.00           -0.00            0.00            0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex1    {res}                         0.12***                         0.12***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex2    {res}                         0.06                            0.06   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lndist      {res}                        -0.07*                          -0.07** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem1        {res}                        -0.27                           -0.18   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.39{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.35{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem2        {res}                         0.68**                          0.58** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.27{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.26{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem_Both    {res}                        -1.69**                         -1.94***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.67{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.66{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}defense     {res}                        -0.74**                         -0.74** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.31{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.30{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Strat_Riv   {res}                         2.40***                         2.39***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.28{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.27{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}post2000    {res}                                        -1.15***        -0.44   {txt}
            {res}                                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.36{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.38{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        -5.72***        -8.03***        -5.71***        -7.96***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.20{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.69{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.19{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.66{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}N           {res}       102716           79532          136194          105506   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}                                                                {txt}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. ** Table A9: Replicate Table 1 by replacing Military Spending with CINC Scores***  
. eststo M23: relogit     yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2              cinc1 cinc2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1 & year<=2000
{txt}(314,102 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}    83244

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.232988{col 35}{space 2} .6271541{col 46}{space 1}   -1.97{col 55}{space 3}0.049{col 63}{space 4}-2.462188{col 76}{space 3}-.0037885
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.016052{col 35}{space 2}  .527668{col 46}{space 1}   -1.93{col 55}{space 3}0.054{col 63}{space 4}-2.050262{col 76}{space 3} .0181583
{txt}{space 16}cinc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 4.656017{col 35}{space 2} 1.867159{col 46}{space 1}    2.49{col 55}{space 3}0.013{col 63}{space 4} .9964522{col 76}{space 3} 8.315581
{txt}{space 16}cinc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.063314{col 35}{space 2} 2.410526{col 46}{space 1}    0.44{col 55}{space 3}0.659{col 63}{space 4} -3.66123{col 76}{space 3} 5.787857
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3798257{col 35}{space 2}  .114083{col 46}{space 1}   -3.33{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-.6034243{col 76}{space 3}-.1562271
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0423845{col 35}{space 2} .0953337{col 46}{space 1}   -0.44{col 55}{space 3}0.657{col 63}{space 4}-.2292352{col 76}{space 3} .1444661
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0423256{col 35}{space 2} .0394637{col 46}{space 1}   -1.07{col 55}{space 3}0.283{col 63}{space 4} -.119673{col 76}{space 3} .0350217
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1713823{col 35}{space 2} .3789578{col 46}{space 1}    0.45{col 55}{space 3}0.651{col 63}{space 4}-.5713613{col 76}{space 3} .9141259
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7345086{col 35}{space 2} .2514077{col 46}{space 1}    2.92{col 55}{space 3}0.003{col 63}{space 4} .2417586{col 76}{space 3} 1.227259
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -1.53805{col 35}{space 2} .6628226{col 46}{space 1}   -2.32{col 55}{space 3}0.020{col 63}{space 4}-2.837158{col 76}{space 3}-.2389411
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.6495785{col 35}{space 2} .2935087{col 46}{space 1}   -2.21{col 55}{space 3}0.027{col 63}{space 4}-1.224845{col 76}{space 3}-.0743121
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.444149{col 35}{space 2} .2661398{col 46}{space 1}    9.18{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.922525{col 76}{space 3} 2.965774
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.080113{col 35}{space 2} .0455723{col 46}{space 1}   -1.76{col 55}{space 3}0.079{col 63}{space 4}-.1694332{col 76}{space 3} .0092071
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0025541{col 35}{space 2} .0025278{col 46}{space 1}    1.01{col 55}{space 3}0.312{col 63}{space 4}-.0024002{col 76}{space 3} .0075084
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0000289{col 35}{space 2} .0000378{col 46}{space 1}   -0.76{col 55}{space 3}0.444{col 63}{space 4}-.0001029{col 76}{space 3} .0000451
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.839297{col 35}{space 2}  .979775{col 46}{space 1}   -2.90{col 55}{space 3}0.004{col 63}{space 4}-4.759621{col 76}{space 3}-.9189731
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M24: relogit     yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 cinc1 cinc2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1
{txt}(314,102 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   111054

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.7917709{col 35}{space 2} .4284771{col 46}{space 1}   -1.85{col 55}{space 3}0.065{col 63}{space 4}-1.631571{col 76}{space 3} .0480289
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.243386{col 35}{space 2} .5210808{col 46}{space 1}   -2.39{col 55}{space 3}0.017{col 63}{space 4}-2.264686{col 76}{space 3}-.2220864
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3714834{col 35}{space 2} .3392907{col 46}{space 1}   -1.09{col 55}{space 3}0.274{col 63}{space 4}-1.036481{col 76}{space 3} .2935141
{txt}{space 16}cinc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 3.829132{col 35}{space 2} 1.816617{col 46}{space 1}    2.11{col 55}{space 3}0.035{col 63}{space 4} .2686276{col 76}{space 3} 7.389637
{txt}{space 16}cinc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.294176{col 35}{space 2}  2.41537{col 46}{space 1}    0.54{col 55}{space 3}0.592{col 63}{space 4}-3.439863{col 76}{space 3} 6.028215
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3202748{col 35}{space 2} .1096161{col 46}{space 1}   -2.92{col 55}{space 3}0.003{col 63}{space 4}-.5351185{col 76}{space 3}-.1054311
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0941535{col 35}{space 2} .0907913{col 46}{space 1}   -1.04{col 55}{space 3}0.300{col 63}{space 4} -.272101{col 76}{space 3} .0837941
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0409979{col 35}{space 2}  .036755{col 46}{space 1}   -1.12{col 55}{space 3}0.265{col 63}{space 4}-.1130364{col 76}{space 3} .0310406
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2941338{col 35}{space 2} .3267594{col 46}{space 1}    0.90{col 55}{space 3}0.368{col 63}{space 4}-.3463028{col 76}{space 3} .9345703
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .693391{col 35}{space 2} .2467166{col 46}{space 1}    2.81{col 55}{space 3}0.005{col 63}{space 4} .2098353{col 76}{space 3} 1.176947
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.916959{col 35}{space 2} .6553095{col 46}{space 1}   -2.93{col 55}{space 3}0.003{col 63}{space 4}-3.201342{col 76}{space 3}-.6325756
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.6872478{col 35}{space 2} .2860275{col 46}{space 1}   -2.40{col 55}{space 3}0.016{col 63}{space 4}-1.247851{col 76}{space 3}-.1266441
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.427744{col 35}{space 2} .2495461{col 46}{space 1}    9.73{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.938642{col 76}{space 3} 2.916845
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0554328{col 35}{space 2} .0379197{col 46}{space 1}   -1.46{col 55}{space 3}0.144{col 63}{space 4} -.129754{col 76}{space 3} .0188884
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0005129{col 35}{space 2} .0017011{col 46}{space 1}    0.30{col 55}{space 3}0.763{col 63}{space 4}-.0028212{col 76}{space 3} .0038471
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 9.20e-06{col 35}{space 2} .0000207{col 46}{space 1}    0.45{col 55}{space 3}0.656{col 63}{space 4}-.0000313{col 76}{space 3} .0000497
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.920307{col 35}{space 2} .9401659{col 46}{space 1}   -3.11{col 55}{space 3}0.002{col 63}{space 4}-4.762998{col 76}{space 3}-1.077616
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M23 M24 , se(2) pr2 b(2) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A   
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}ServSat1    {res}        -1.23**         -0.79*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.63{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.43{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}ServSat2    {res}        -1.02*          -1.24** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.52{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}cinc1       {res}         4.66**          3.83** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.87{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.82{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}cinc2       {res}         1.06            1.29   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}2.41{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}2.42{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc1   {res}        -0.38***        -0.32***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc2   {res}        -0.04           -0.09   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lndist      {res}        -0.04           -0.04   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem1        {res}         0.17            0.29   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.38{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.33{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem2        {res}         0.73***         0.69***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.25{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.25{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem_Both    {res}        -1.54**         -1.92***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.66{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.66{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}defense     {res}        -0.65**         -0.69** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.29{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.29{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Strat_Riv   {res}         2.44***         2.43***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.27{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.25{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalientN~A{res}        -0.08*          -0.06   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_sq{res}         0.00            0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_cb{res}        -0.00            0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}post2000    {res}                        -0.37   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.34{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        -2.84***        -2.92***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.98{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.94{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}        83244          111054   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}                                {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. ** Table A10: Replicate Table 1 with including Contiguity and PowerShare*** CapShare1 directcontig
. eststo M25: relogit     yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2              lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv CapShare1 directcontig yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1 & year<=2000
{txt}(416,144 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}    79274

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.407482{col 35}{space 2} .7367112{col 46}{space 1}   -1.91{col 55}{space 3}0.056{col 63}{space 4} -2.85141{col 76}{space 3}  .036445
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.8751346{col 35}{space 2}  .499635{col 46}{space 1}   -1.75{col 55}{space 3}0.080{col 63}{space 4}-1.854401{col 76}{space 3} .1041321
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1925713{col 35}{space 2} .0654421{col 46}{space 1}    2.94{col 55}{space 3}0.003{col 63}{space 4} .0643071{col 76}{space 3} .3208354
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0951332{col 35}{space 2} .0659934{col 46}{space 1}    1.44{col 55}{space 3}0.149{col 63}{space 4}-.0342116{col 76}{space 3} .2244779
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.5848681{col 35}{space 2} .1263434{col 46}{space 1}   -4.63{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.8324967{col 76}{space 3}-.3372396
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.116179{col 35}{space 2} .1021932{col 46}{space 1}   -1.14{col 55}{space 3}0.256{col 63}{space 4} -.316474{col 76}{space 3}  .084116
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3394436{col 35}{space 2} .1628665{col 46}{space 1}   -2.08{col 55}{space 3}0.037{col 63}{space 4}-.6586561{col 76}{space 3}-.0202311
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3821852{col 35}{space 2} .3828965{col 46}{space 1}    1.00{col 55}{space 3}0.318{col 63}{space 4}-.3682782{col 76}{space 3} 1.132649
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7564151{col 35}{space 2}  .271877{col 46}{space 1}    2.78{col 55}{space 3}0.005{col 63}{space 4} .2235459{col 76}{space 3} 1.289284
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.691445{col 35}{space 2} .6649056{col 46}{space 1}   -2.54{col 55}{space 3}0.011{col 63}{space 4}-2.994636{col 76}{space 3}-.3882543
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4206219{col 35}{space 2} .3096583{col 46}{space 1}   -1.36{col 55}{space 3}0.174{col 63}{space 4}-1.027541{col 76}{space 3} .1862973
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.236049{col 35}{space 2} .2772839{col 46}{space 1}    8.06{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.692583{col 76}{space 3} 2.779516
{txt}{space 12}CapShare1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0342188{col 35}{space 2} .7054168{col 46}{space 1}   -0.05{col 55}{space 3}0.961{col 63}{space 4} -1.41681{col 76}{space 3} 1.348373
{txt}{space 9}directcontig {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.186898{col 35}{space 2} 1.256393{col 46}{space 1}   -1.74{col 55}{space 3}0.082{col 63}{space 4}-4.649383{col 76}{space 3} .2755862
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0742083{col 35}{space 2} .0525347{col 46}{space 1}   -1.41{col 55}{space 3}0.158{col 63}{space 4}-.1771743{col 76}{space 3} .0287578
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0016204{col 35}{space 2} .0027695{col 46}{space 1}    0.59{col 55}{space 3}0.559{col 63}{space 4}-.0038078{col 76}{space 3} .0070485
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0000167{col 35}{space 2} .0000409{col 46}{space 1}   -0.41{col 55}{space 3}0.682{col 63}{space 4}-.0000969{col 76}{space 3} .0000634
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.904108{col 35}{space 2} 1.889324{col 46}{space 1}   -1.01{col 55}{space 3}0.314{col 63}{space 4}-5.607114{col 76}{space 3} 1.798899
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M26: relogit     yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv CapShare1 directcontig yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1
{txt}(416,144 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   105032

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.9745016{col 35}{space 2} .4422624{col 46}{space 1}   -2.20{col 55}{space 3}0.028{col 63}{space 4} -1.84132{col 76}{space 3}-.1076832
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.095412{col 35}{space 2} .4886327{col 46}{space 1}   -2.24{col 55}{space 3}0.025{col 63}{space 4}-2.053115{col 76}{space 3}  -.13771
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -.164833{col 35}{space 2} .3580167{col 46}{space 1}   -0.46{col 55}{space 3}0.645{col 63}{space 4}-.8665328{col 76}{space 3} .5368668
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1644845{col 35}{space 2} .0625342{col 46}{space 1}    2.63{col 55}{space 3}0.009{col 63}{space 4} .0419197{col 76}{space 3} .2870492
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1202842{col 35}{space 2} .0623789{col 46}{space 1}    1.93{col 55}{space 3}0.054{col 63}{space 4}-.0019762{col 76}{space 3} .2425446
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.5086175{col 35}{space 2} .1208145{col 46}{space 1}   -4.21{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-.7454096{col 76}{space 3}-.2718254
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1803682{col 35}{space 2} .1041861{col 46}{space 1}   -1.73{col 55}{space 3}0.083{col 63}{space 4}-.3845693{col 76}{space 3} .0238328
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1180377{col 35}{space 2} .1430844{col 46}{space 1}   -0.82{col 55}{space 3}0.409{col 63}{space 4}-.3984779{col 76}{space 3} .1624025
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3820647{col 35}{space 2}  .351459{col 46}{space 1}    1.09{col 55}{space 3}0.277{col 63}{space 4}-.3067823{col 76}{space 3} 1.070912
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7161846{col 35}{space 2} .2700389{col 46}{space 1}    2.65{col 55}{space 3}0.008{col 63}{space 4} .1869179{col 76}{space 3} 1.245451
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.906331{col 35}{space 2} .6568707{col 46}{space 1}   -2.90{col 55}{space 3}0.004{col 63}{space 4}-3.193774{col 76}{space 3}-.6188884
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4037965{col 35}{space 2} .3069265{col 46}{space 1}   -1.32{col 55}{space 3}0.188{col 63}{space 4}-1.005361{col 76}{space 3} .1977685
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.263272{col 35}{space 2} .2644134{col 46}{space 1}    8.56{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 1.745031{col 76}{space 3} 2.781513
{txt}{space 12}CapShare1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2321488{col 35}{space 2} .6799975{col 46}{space 1}    0.34{col 55}{space 3}0.733{col 63}{space 4}-1.100622{col 76}{space 3} 1.564919
{txt}{space 9}directcontig {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4113522{col 35}{space 2} 1.195637{col 46}{space 1}   -0.34{col 55}{space 3}0.731{col 63}{space 4}-2.754758{col 76}{space 3} 1.932054
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0559789{col 35}{space 2} .0451918{col 46}{space 1}   -1.24{col 55}{space 3}0.215{col 63}{space 4}-.1445532{col 76}{space 3} .0325953
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000721{col 35}{space 2} .0019852{col 46}{space 1}    0.04{col 55}{space 3}0.971{col 63}{space 4}-.0038189{col 76}{space 3} .0039631
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000132{col 35}{space 2} .0000242{col 46}{space 1}    0.54{col 55}{space 3}0.586{col 63}{space 4}-.0000342{col 76}{space 3} .0000605
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-3.883682{col 35}{space 2} 1.946326{col 46}{space 1}   -2.00{col 55}{space 3}0.046{col 63}{space 4}-7.698411{col 76}{space 3}-.0689521
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M25 M26 , se(2) pr2 b(2) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A   
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}ServSat1    {res}        -1.41*          -0.97** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.74{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}ServSat2    {res}        -0.88*          -1.10** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.50{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex1    {res}         0.19***         0.16***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex2    {res}         0.10            0.12*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc1   {res}        -0.58***        -0.51***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc2   {res}        -0.12           -0.18*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lndist      {res}        -0.34**         -0.12   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.16{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem1        {res}         0.38            0.38   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.38{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.35{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem2        {res}         0.76***         0.72***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.27{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.27{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem_Both    {res}        -1.69**         -1.91***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.66{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.66{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}defense     {res}        -0.42           -0.40   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.31{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.31{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Strat_Riv   {res}         2.24***         2.26***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.28{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.26{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}CapShare1   {res}        -0.03            0.23   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.71{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.68{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}directcontig{res}        -2.19*          -0.41   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.26{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.20{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalientN~A{res}        -0.07           -0.06   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_sq{res}         0.00            0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_cb{res}        -0.00            0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}post2000    {res}                        -0.16   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.36{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        -1.90           -3.88** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.89{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.95{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}        79274          105032   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}                                {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. **Table A11: Re-Estimating Table 1 Using Minor MIDs (Fatlevel 0-2)**
. eststo M27: relogit  yrMinMIDS_SA ServSat1 ServSat2  yrMinNoMIDS_SA yrMinNoMIDS_SA_sq yrMinNoMIDS_SA_cb  if PolRev==1 & year<=2000


{txt}Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   102716

{txt}{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}     yrMinMIDS_SA{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}ServSat1 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0534483{col 31}{space 2} .0739455{col 42}{space 1}    0.72{col 51}{space 3}0.470{col 59}{space 4}-.0914823{col 72}{space 3} .1983788
{txt}{space 9}ServSat2 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0603263{col 31}{space 2} .0770281{col 42}{space 1}   -0.78{col 51}{space 3}0.434{col 59}{space 4}-.2112987{col 72}{space 3} .0906461
{txt}{space 3}yrMinNoMIDS_SA {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.4821332{col 31}{space 2} .0175916{col 42}{space 1}  -27.41{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-.5166121{col 72}{space 3}-.4476543
{txt}yrMinNoMIDS_SA_sq {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0196972{col 31}{space 2} .0011249{col 42}{space 1}   17.51{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} .0174923{col 72}{space 3}  .021902
{txt}yrMinNoMIDS_SA_cb {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0002377{col 31}{space 2} .0000189{col 42}{space 1}  -12.55{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-.0002748{col 72}{space 3}-.0002005
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-2.036351{col 31}{space 2} .0416293{col 42}{space 1}  -48.92{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-2.117943{col 72}{space 3}-1.954759
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M28: relogit     yrMinMIDS_SA ServSat1 ServSat2                  lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrMinNoMIDS_SA yrMinNoMIDS_SA_sq yrMinNoMIDS_SA_cb  if PolRev==1 & year<=2000
{txt}(416,144 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}    79274

{txt}{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}     yrMinMIDS_SA{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}ServSat1 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0648713{col 31}{space 2} .1076512{col 42}{space 1}    0.60{col 51}{space 3}0.547{col 59}{space 4}-.1461212{col 72}{space 3} .2758638
{txt}{space 9}ServSat2 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1819762{col 31}{space 2} .1143086{col 42}{space 1}    1.59{col 51}{space 3}0.111{col 59}{space 4}-.0420645{col 72}{space 3} .4060168
{txt}{space 9}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .2045641{col 31}{space 2} .0134997{col 42}{space 1}   15.15{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} .1781051{col 72}{space 3}  .231023
{txt}{space 9}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1357212{col 31}{space 2} .0150606{col 42}{space 1}    9.01{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} .1062029{col 72}{space 3} .1652395
{txt}{space 8}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.2431243{col 31}{space 2} .0329594{col 42}{space 1}   -7.38{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-.3077236{col 72}{space 3} -.178525
{txt}{space 8}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.140868{col 31}{space 2} .0353672{col 42}{space 1}   -3.98{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-.2101864{col 72}{space 3}-.0715496
{txt}{space 11}lndist {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.1690252{col 31}{space 2}  .009364{col 42}{space 1}  -18.05{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-.1873782{col 72}{space 3}-.1506721
{txt}{space 13}Dem1 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0042607{col 31}{space 2} .0974446{col 42}{space 1}    0.04{col 51}{space 3}0.965{col 59}{space 4}-.1867272{col 72}{space 3} .1952487
{txt}{space 13}Dem2 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .2614832{col 31}{space 2} .0895006{col 42}{space 1}    2.92{col 51}{space 3}0.003{col 59}{space 4} .0860651{col 72}{space 3} .4369012
{txt}{space 9}Dem_Both {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.067187{col 31}{space 2} .1494032{col 42}{space 1}   -7.14{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-1.360012{col 72}{space 3}-.7743616
{txt}{space 10}defense {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0753896{col 31}{space 2} .0821665{col 42}{space 1}   -0.92{col 51}{space 3}0.359{col 59}{space 4} -.236433{col 72}{space 3} .0856538
{txt}{space 8}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.232521{col 31}{space 2} .0793252{col 42}{space 1}   15.54{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} 1.077047{col 72}{space 3} 1.387996
{txt}{space 3}yrMinNoMIDS_SA {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.4380022{col 31}{space 2} .0209475{col 42}{space 1}  -20.91{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-.4790586{col 72}{space 3}-.3969459
{txt}yrMinNoMIDS_SA_sq {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0178324{col 31}{space 2} .0013301{col 42}{space 1}   13.41{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} .0152255{col 72}{space 3} .0204393
{txt}yrMinNoMIDS_SA_cb {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0002188{col 31}{space 2} .0000224{col 42}{space 1}   -9.76{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-.0002628{col 72}{space 3}-.0001749
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-2.919119{col 31}{space 2} .3153564{col 42}{space 1}   -9.26{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-3.537206{col 72}{space 3}-2.301032
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M29: relogit  yrMinMIDS_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 yrMinNoMIDS_SA yrMinNoMIDS_SA_sq yrMinNoMIDS_SA_cb if PolRev==1  


{txt}Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   136194

{txt}{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}     yrMinMIDS_SA{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}ServSat1 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1153602{col 31}{space 2} .0623433{col 42}{space 1}    1.85{col 51}{space 3}0.064{col 59}{space 4}-.0068303{col 72}{space 3} .2375508
{txt}{space 9}ServSat2 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.1176922{col 31}{space 2} .0689474{col 42}{space 1}   -1.71{col 51}{space 3}0.088{col 59}{space 4}-.2528267{col 72}{space 3} .0174423
{txt}{space 9}post2000 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .4881053{col 31}{space 2} .0672522{col 42}{space 1}    7.26{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} .3562934{col 72}{space 3} .6199172
{txt}{space 3}yrMinNoMIDS_SA {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.4937085{col 31}{space 2} .0151808{col 42}{space 1}  -32.52{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-.5234624{col 72}{space 3}-.4639546
{txt}yrMinNoMIDS_SA_sq {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0189543{col 31}{space 2} .0009036{col 42}{space 1}   20.98{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} .0171833{col 72}{space 3} .0207253
{txt}yrMinNoMIDS_SA_cb {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0002166{col 31}{space 2}  .000014{col 42}{space 1}  -15.42{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-.0002441{col 72}{space 3}-.0001891
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.961735{col 31}{space 2} .0368845{col 42}{space 1}  -53.19{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-2.034027{col 72}{space 3}-1.889442
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M30: relogit  yrMinMIDS_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrMinNoMIDS_SA yrMinNoMIDS_SA_sq yrMinNoMIDS_SA_cb   if PolRev==1
{txt}(416,144 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   105032

{txt}{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}     yrMinMIDS_SA{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}ServSat1 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0778693{col 31}{space 2} .0926596{col 42}{space 1}    0.84{col 51}{space 3}0.401{col 59}{space 4}-.1037402{col 72}{space 3} .2594788
{txt}{space 9}ServSat2 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0314502{col 31}{space 2} .1023019{col 42}{space 1}   -0.31{col 51}{space 3}0.759{col 59}{space 4}-.2319583{col 72}{space 3} .1690579
{txt}{space 9}post2000 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .587021{col 31}{space 2} .0857471{col 42}{space 1}    6.85{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} .4189599{col 72}{space 3} .7550822
{txt}{space 9}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .2023939{col 31}{space 2} .0127642{col 42}{space 1}   15.86{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} .1773765{col 72}{space 3} .2274113
{txt}{space 9}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1449828{col 31}{space 2} .0139314{col 42}{space 1}   10.41{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} .1176779{col 72}{space 3} .1722878
{txt}{space 8}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.2793278{col 31}{space 2} .0307229{col 42}{space 1}   -9.09{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-.3395436{col 72}{space 3} -.219112
{txt}{space 8}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.1572827{col 31}{space 2} .0320115{col 42}{space 1}   -4.91{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} -.220024{col 72}{space 3}-.0945413
{txt}{space 11}lndist {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.1622822{col 31}{space 2} .0086637{col 42}{space 1}  -18.73{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-.1792627{col 72}{space 3}-.1453017
{txt}{space 13}Dem1 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0804204{col 31}{space 2} .0879321{col 42}{space 1}    0.91{col 51}{space 3}0.360{col 59}{space 4}-.0919234{col 72}{space 3} .2527641
{txt}{space 13}Dem2 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1655184{col 31}{space 2} .0836038{col 42}{space 1}    1.98{col 51}{space 3}0.048{col 59}{space 4}  .001658{col 72}{space 3} .3293787
{txt}{space 9}Dem_Both {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.9859732{col 31}{space 2} .1347597{col 42}{space 1}   -7.32{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-1.250097{col 72}{space 3} -.721849
{txt}{space 10}defense {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0914499{col 31}{space 2} .0739479{col 42}{space 1}    1.24{col 51}{space 3}0.216{col 59}{space 4}-.0534854{col 72}{space 3} .2363852
{txt}{space 8}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.134346{col 31}{space 2} .0730424{col 42}{space 1}   15.53{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} .9911854{col 72}{space 3} 1.277506
{txt}{space 3}yrMinNoMIDS_SA {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.4389512{col 31}{space 2} .0176634{col 42}{space 1}  -24.85{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-.4735709{col 72}{space 3}-.4043315
{txt}yrMinNoMIDS_SA_sq {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0165375{col 31}{space 2} .0010401{col 42}{space 1}   15.90{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}  .014499{col 72}{space 3} .0185761
{txt}yrMinNoMIDS_SA_cb {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.000188{col 31}{space 2} .0000161{col 42}{space 1}  -11.71{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-.0002195{col 72}{space 3}-.0001565
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-2.534206{col 31}{space 2} .2901863{col 42}{space 1}   -8.73{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-3.102961{col 72}{space 3}-1.965451
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. esttab M27 M28 M29 M30, se(2) pr2 b(2) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01) 
{res}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)             (3)             (4)   
{txt}             yrMinMIDS_SA    yrMinMIDS_SA    yrMinMIDS_SA    yrMinMIDS_SA   
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}ServSat1    {res}         0.05            0.06            0.12*           0.08   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}ServSat2    {res}        -0.06            0.18           -0.12*          -0.03   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrMinNoMID~A{res}        -0.48***        -0.44***        -0.49***        -0.44***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrMinNoMID~q{res}         0.02***         0.02***         0.02***         0.02***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrMinNoMID~b{res}        -0.00***        -0.00***        -0.00***        -0.00***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex1    {res}                         0.20***                         0.20***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex2    {res}                         0.14***                         0.14***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc1   {res}                        -0.24***                        -0.28***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc2   {res}                        -0.14***                        -0.16***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lndist      {res}                        -0.17***                        -0.16***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem1        {res}                         0.00                            0.08   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem2        {res}                         0.26***                         0.17** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem_Both    {res}                        -1.07***                        -0.99***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}defense     {res}                        -0.08                            0.09   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Strat_Riv   {res}                         1.23***                         1.13***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}post2000    {res}                                         0.49***         0.59***{txt}
            {res}                                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        -2.04***        -2.92***        -1.96***        -2.53***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.32{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.29{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}N           {res}       102716           79274          136194          105032   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}                                                                {txt}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. **Table A12: Re-Estimating Table 1 Using Lower Threshold MIDs (Fatlevel 2-6)**
. eststo M31: relogit  yrSalientMIDs_SA2 ServSat1 ServSat2 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2_cb if PolRev==1 & year<=2000


{txt}Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   102716

{txt}{hline 23}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 24}{c |}{col 36}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA2{col 24}{c |}      Coef.{col 36}   Std. Err.{col 48}      z{col 56}   P>|z|{col 64}     [95% Con{col 77}f. Interval]
{hline 23}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 14}ServSat1 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-1.216041{col 36}{space 2} .3127837{col 47}{space 1}   -3.89{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4}-1.829086{col 77}{space 3}-.6029962
{txt}{space 14}ServSat2 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-1.135184{col 36}{space 2} .3088007{col 47}{space 1}   -3.68{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4}-1.740422{col 77}{space 3}-.5299461
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-.1263709{col 36}{space 2} .0357465{col 47}{space 1}   -3.54{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4}-.1964328{col 77}{space 3} -.056309
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2_sq {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2} .0024854{col 36}{space 2} .0021545{col 47}{space 1}    1.15{col 56}{space 3}0.249{col 64}{space 4}-.0017373{col 77}{space 3} .0067081
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2_cb {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-7.80e-06{col 36}{space 2} .0000332{col 47}{space 1}   -0.24{col 56}{space 3}0.814{col 64}{space 4}-.0000728{col 77}{space 3} .0000572
{txt}{space 17}_cons {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-4.994081{col 36}{space 2} .1434796{col 47}{space 1}  -34.81{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4}-5.275295{col 77}{space 3}-4.712866
{txt}{hline 23}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M32: relogit     yrSalientMIDs_SA2 ServSat1 ServSat2             lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2_cb if PolRev==1 & year<=2000
{txt}(416,144 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}    79274

{txt}{hline 23}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 24}{c |}{col 36}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA2{col 24}{c |}      Coef.{col 36}   Std. Err.{col 48}      z{col 56}   P>|z|{col 64}     [95% Con{col 77}f. Interval]
{hline 23}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 14}ServSat1 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-1.328481{col 36}{space 2} .5817901{col 47}{space 1}   -2.28{col 56}{space 3}0.022{col 64}{space 4}-2.468769{col 77}{space 3}-.1881936
{txt}{space 14}ServSat2 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2} -.628025{col 36}{space 2} .4064459{col 47}{space 1}   -1.55{col 56}{space 3}0.122{col 64}{space 4}-1.424644{col 77}{space 3} .1685943
{txt}{space 14}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2} .1505726{col 36}{space 2} .0366191{col 47}{space 1}    4.11{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4} .0788005{col 77}{space 3} .2223446
{txt}{space 14}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2} .0908822{col 36}{space 2} .0345859{col 47}{space 1}    2.63{col 56}{space 3}0.009{col 64}{space 4}  .023095{col 77}{space 3} .1586693
{txt}{space 13}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-.4156146{col 36}{space 2} .0992502{col 47}{space 1}   -4.19{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4}-.6101415{col 77}{space 3}-.2210878
{txt}{space 13}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-.1601511{col 36}{space 2} .0891788{col 47}{space 1}   -1.80{col 56}{space 3}0.073{col 64}{space 4}-.3349384{col 77}{space 3} .0146362
{txt}{space 16}lndist {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-.0916759{col 36}{space 2} .0312537{col 47}{space 1}   -2.93{col 56}{space 3}0.003{col 64}{space 4}-.1529321{col 77}{space 3}-.0304197
{txt}{space 18}Dem1 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2} .5005887{col 36}{space 2} .3081791{col 47}{space 1}    1.62{col 56}{space 3}0.104{col 64}{space 4}-.1034313{col 77}{space 3} 1.104609
{txt}{space 18}Dem2 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2} .8958708{col 36}{space 2}  .230491{col 47}{space 1}    3.89{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4} .4441169{col 77}{space 3} 1.347625
{txt}{space 14}Dem_Both {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-2.113771{col 36}{space 2} .5742496{col 47}{space 1}   -3.68{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4} -3.23928{col 77}{space 3}-.9882626
{txt}{space 15}defense {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-.3502516{col 36}{space 2} .2572998{col 47}{space 1}   -1.36{col 56}{space 3}0.173{col 64}{space 4}-.8545499{col 77}{space 3} .1540466
{txt}{space 13}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}    2.318{col 36}{space 2} .2386857{col 47}{space 1}    9.71{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4} 1.850184{col 77}{space 3} 2.785815
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-.1023003{col 36}{space 2} .0448674{col 47}{space 1}   -2.28{col 56}{space 3}0.023{col 64}{space 4}-.1902388{col 77}{space 3}-.0143618
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2_sq {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2} .0011154{col 36}{space 2} .0025258{col 47}{space 1}    0.44{col 56}{space 3}0.659{col 64}{space 4} -.003835{col 77}{space 3} .0060658
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2_cb {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2} 7.61e-06{col 36}{space 2} .0000374{col 47}{space 1}    0.20{col 56}{space 3}0.839{col 64}{space 4}-.0000657{col 77}{space 3} .0000809
{txt}{space 17}_cons {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-3.887288{col 36}{space 2} .8632839{col 47}{space 1}   -4.50{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4}-5.579293{col 77}{space 3}-2.195283
{txt}{hline 23}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M33: relogit  yrSalientMIDs_SA2 ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2_cb if PolRev==1  


{txt}Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   136194

{txt}{hline 23}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 24}{c |}{col 36}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA2{col 24}{c |}      Coef.{col 36}   Std. Err.{col 48}      z{col 56}   P>|z|{col 64}     [95% Con{col 77}f. Interval]
{hline 23}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 14}ServSat1 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-1.066807{col 36}{space 2}  .260874{col 47}{space 1}   -4.09{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4}-1.578111{col 77}{space 3}-.5555035
{txt}{space 14}ServSat2 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-1.261134{col 36}{space 2} .3002491{col 47}{space 1}   -4.20{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4}-1.849611{col 77}{space 3}-.6726564
{txt}{space 14}post2000 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-.7252772{col 36}{space 2} .3027793{col 47}{space 1}   -2.40{col 56}{space 3}0.017{col 64}{space 4}-1.318714{col 77}{space 3}-.1318407
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-.1378516{col 36}{space 2} .0288481{col 47}{space 1}   -4.78{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4}-.1943928{col 77}{space 3}-.0813104
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2_sq {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}  .003001{col 36}{space 2} .0013822{col 47}{space 1}    2.17{col 56}{space 3}0.030{col 64}{space 4}  .000292{col 77}{space 3} .0057101
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2_cb {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-.0000136{col 36}{space 2} .0000176{col 47}{space 1}   -0.77{col 56}{space 3}0.439{col 64}{space 4}-.0000482{col 77}{space 3} .0000209
{txt}{space 17}_cons {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-4.961189{col 36}{space 2} .1341525{col 47}{space 1}  -36.98{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4}-5.224123{col 77}{space 3}-4.698255
{txt}{hline 23}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M34: relogit     yrSalientMIDs_SA2 ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2_cb if PolRev==1
{txt}(416,144 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   105032

{txt}{hline 23}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 24}{c |}{col 36}    Robust
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA2{col 24}{c |}      Coef.{col 36}   Std. Err.{col 48}      z{col 56}   P>|z|{col 64}     [95% Con{col 77}f. Interval]
{hline 23}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 14}ServSat1 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-.9360084{col 36}{space 2} .4070982{col 47}{space 1}   -2.30{col 56}{space 3}0.021{col 64}{space 4}-1.733906{col 77}{space 3}-.1381104
{txt}{space 14}ServSat2 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-.9901696{col 36}{space 2} .4219153{col 47}{space 1}   -2.35{col 56}{space 3}0.019{col 64}{space 4}-1.817108{col 77}{space 3}-.1632308
{txt}{space 14}post2000 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-.0892251{col 36}{space 2} .3502902{col 47}{space 1}   -0.25{col 56}{space 3}0.799{col 64}{space 4}-.7757813{col 77}{space 3} .5973311
{txt}{space 14}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2} .1511772{col 36}{space 2} .0364042{col 47}{space 1}    4.15{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4} .0798264{col 77}{space 3}  .222528
{txt}{space 14}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2} .1072306{col 36}{space 2} .0339571{col 47}{space 1}    3.16{col 56}{space 3}0.002{col 64}{space 4}  .040676{col 77}{space 3} .1737852
{txt}{space 13}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-.4010832{col 36}{space 2}  .095897{col 47}{space 1}   -4.18{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4}-.5890379{col 77}{space 3}-.2131285
{txt}{space 13}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-.1938374{col 36}{space 2} .0844326{col 47}{space 1}   -2.30{col 56}{space 3}0.022{col 64}{space 4}-.3593223{col 77}{space 3}-.0283526
{txt}{space 16}lndist {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2} -.090919{col 36}{space 2} .0303916{col 47}{space 1}   -2.99{col 56}{space 3}0.003{col 64}{space 4}-.1504855{col 77}{space 3}-.0313524
{txt}{space 18}Dem1 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2} .5350426{col 36}{space 2} .2826697{col 47}{space 1}    1.89{col 56}{space 3}0.058{col 64}{space 4}-.0189799{col 77}{space 3} 1.089065
{txt}{space 18}Dem2 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2} .8138975{col 36}{space 2} .2249447{col 47}{space 1}    3.62{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4}  .373014{col 77}{space 3} 1.254781
{txt}{space 14}Dem_Both {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2} -2.32112{col 36}{space 2} .5667034{col 47}{space 1}   -4.10{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4}-3.431838{col 77}{space 3}-1.210402
{txt}{space 15}defense {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-.3508382{col 36}{space 2} .2475024{col 47}{space 1}   -1.42{col 56}{space 3}0.156{col 64}{space 4}-.8359339{col 77}{space 3} .1342575
{txt}{space 13}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}  2.34316{col 36}{space 2} .2324824{col 47}{space 1}   10.08{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4} 1.887503{col 77}{space 3} 2.798817
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2 {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-.1084715{col 36}{space 2} .0373186{col 47}{space 1}   -2.91{col 56}{space 3}0.004{col 64}{space 4}-.1816147{col 77}{space 3}-.0353283
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2_sq {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2} .0013223{col 36}{space 2} .0017817{col 47}{space 1}    0.74{col 56}{space 3}0.458{col 64}{space 4}-.0021698{col 77}{space 3} .0048144
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA2_cb {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2} 6.14e-06{col 36}{space 2} .0000228{col 47}{space 1}    0.27{col 56}{space 3}0.788{col 64}{space 4}-.0000386{col 77}{space 3} .0000509
{txt}{space 17}_cons {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-3.913905{col 36}{space 2} .8157717{col 47}{space 1}   -4.80{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4}-5.512788{col 77}{space 3}-2.315022
{txt}{hline 23}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. esttab M31 M32 M33 M34, se(2) pr2 b(2) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01) 
{res}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)             (3)             (4)   
{txt}             yrSalientM~2    yrSalientM~2    yrSalientM~2    yrSalientM~2   
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}ServSat1    {res}        -1.22***        -1.33**         -1.07***        -0.94** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.31{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.58{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.26{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.41{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}ServSat2    {res}        -1.14***        -0.63           -1.26***        -0.99** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.31{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.41{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.30{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.42{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalientN~2{res}        -0.13***        -0.10**         -0.14***        -0.11***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~2_sq{res}         0.00            0.00            0.00**          0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~2_cb{res}        -0.00            0.00           -0.00            0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex1    {res}                         0.15***                         0.15***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex2    {res}                         0.09***                         0.11***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc1   {res}                        -0.42***                        -0.40***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc2   {res}                        -0.16*                          -0.19** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lndist      {res}                        -0.09***                        -0.09***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.03{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem1        {res}                         0.50                            0.54*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.31{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.28{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem2        {res}                         0.90***                         0.81***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.23{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.22{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem_Both    {res}                        -2.11***                        -2.32***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.57{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.57{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}defense     {res}                        -0.35                           -0.35   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.26{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.25{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Strat_Riv   {res}                         2.32***                         2.34***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.24{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.23{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}post2000    {res}                                        -0.73**         -0.09   {txt}
            {res}                                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.30{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.35{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        -4.99***        -3.89***        -4.96***        -3.91***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.86{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.82{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}N           {res}       102716           79274          136194          105032   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}                                                                {txt}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. **Table A13: Replicates Table 1 Using Logit with Fixed Effects**
. eststo M35: xtlogit  yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1 & year<=2000, fe
{txt}note: multiple positive outcomes within groups encountered.
note: 3,364 groups (98,035 obs) dropped because of all positive or
      all negative outcomes.
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-455.27654}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-451.94493}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -451.9238}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-451.92379}  
{res}
{txt}Conditional fixed-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}     4,681
{txt}Group variable: {res}ddyad{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}       106

{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         8
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}      44.2
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        51

{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}5{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    29.22
{txt}Log likelihood  = {res}-451.92379{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0000

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.724473{col 35}{space 2} .4938706{col 46}{space 1}   -3.49{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.692441{col 76}{space 3}-.7565042
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -1.31519{col 35}{space 2} .4612241{col 46}{space 1}   -2.85{col 55}{space 3}0.004{col 63}{space 4}-2.219172{col 76}{space 3} -.411207
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0024699{col 35}{space 2} .0532276{col 46}{space 1}    0.05{col 55}{space 3}0.963{col 63}{space 4}-.1018544{col 76}{space 3} .1067942
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  -.00131{col 35}{space 2} .0031906{col 46}{space 1}   -0.41{col 55}{space 3}0.681{col 63}{space 4}-.0075635{col 76}{space 3} .0049435
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000487{col 35}{space 2} .0000495{col 46}{space 1}    0.98{col 55}{space 3}0.325{col 63}{space 4}-.0000483{col 76}{space 3} .0001457
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M36: xtlogit yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2                  lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1 & year<=2000, fe
{txt}note: multiple positive outcomes within groups encountered.
note: 2,861 groups (75,861 obs) dropped because of all positive or
      all negative outcomes.
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-312.55365}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-285.60773}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-284.43874}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-284.25927}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-284.23061}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-284.22416}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-284.22257}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-284.22225}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-284.22218}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-284.22216}  
{res}
{txt}Conditional fixed-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}     3,413
{txt}Group variable: {res}ddyad{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        77

{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         9
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}      44.3
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        51

{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}   115.09
{txt}Log likelihood  = {res}-284.22216{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0000

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-3.452273{col 35}{space 2} 1.061291{col 46}{space 1}   -3.25{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-5.532365{col 76}{space 3}-1.372182
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -1.22767{col 35}{space 2} .6397694{col 46}{space 1}   -1.92{col 55}{space 3}0.055{col 63}{space 4}-2.481595{col 76}{space 3} .0262553
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2239609{col 35}{space 2} .1372303{col 46}{space 1}   -1.63{col 55}{space 3}0.103{col 63}{space 4}-.4929273{col 76}{space 3} .0450055
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2188547{col 35}{space 2} .1490667{col 46}{space 1}    1.47{col 55}{space 3}0.142{col 63}{space 4}-.0733105{col 76}{space 3}   .51102
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.709938{col 35}{space 2}  .354727{col 46}{space 1}   -4.82{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} -2.40519{col 76}{space 3}-1.014686
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.297739{col 35}{space 2} .3810611{col 46}{space 1}   -3.41{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-2.044605{col 76}{space 3}-.5508726
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2878978{col 35}{space 2} .5393045{col 46}{space 1}   -0.53{col 55}{space 3}0.593{col 63}{space 4}-1.344915{col 76}{space 3} .7691196
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2105245{col 35}{space 2} .7139619{col 46}{space 1}   -0.29{col 55}{space 3}0.768{col 63}{space 4}-1.609864{col 76}{space 3} 1.188815
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0509122{col 35}{space 2} .4870227{col 46}{space 1}    0.10{col 55}{space 3}0.917{col 63}{space 4}-.9036348{col 76}{space 3} 1.005459
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3331877{col 35}{space 2} 1.071211{col 46}{space 1}   -0.31{col 55}{space 3}0.756{col 63}{space 4}-2.432722{col 76}{space 3} 1.766347
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -1.73721{col 35}{space 2} .9971848{col 46}{space 1}   -1.74{col 55}{space 3}0.081{col 63}{space 4}-3.691656{col 76}{space 3} .2172367
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  16.5515{col 35}{space 2} 602.4726{col 46}{space 1}    0.03{col 55}{space 3}0.978{col 63}{space 4}-1164.273{col 76}{space 3} 1197.376
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0746744{col 35}{space 2} .0737525{col 46}{space 1}    1.01{col 55}{space 3}0.311{col 63}{space 4}-.0698779{col 76}{space 3} .2192266
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0003352{col 35}{space 2} .0043644{col 46}{space 1}    0.08{col 55}{space 3}0.939{col 63}{space 4}-.0082189{col 76}{space 3} .0088894
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000147{col 35}{space 2} .0000698{col 46}{space 1}    0.21{col 55}{space 3}0.833{col 63}{space 4}-.0001222{col 76}{space 3} .0001516
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M37: xtlogit  yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1, fe  
{txt}note: multiple positive outcomes within groups encountered.
note: 3,419 groups (130,046 obs) dropped because of all positive or
      all negative outcomes.
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-501.82168}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-496.70204}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-496.68257}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-496.68257}  
{res}
{txt}Conditional fixed-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}     6,148
{txt}Group variable: {res}ddyad{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}       113

{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}      54.4
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        61

{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}6{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    65.82
{txt}Log likelihood  = {res}-496.68257{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0000

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.743184{col 35}{space 2} .4592456{col 46}{space 1}   -3.80{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.643289{col 76}{space 3}-.8430789
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.503704{col 35}{space 2} .4429687{col 46}{space 1}   -3.39{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-2.371907{col 76}{space 3} -.635501
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.700523{col 35}{space 2}  .462926{col 46}{space 1}   -3.67{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.607841{col 76}{space 3}-.7932048
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0078437{col 35}{space 2} .0438649{col 46}{space 1}    0.18{col 55}{space 3}0.858{col 63}{space 4}-.0781299{col 76}{space 3} .0938174
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0017074{col 35}{space 2} .0022396{col 46}{space 1}   -0.76{col 55}{space 3}0.446{col 63}{space 4}-.0060969{col 76}{space 3} .0026821
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000539{col 35}{space 2} .0000305{col 46}{space 1}    1.77{col 55}{space 3}0.078{col 63}{space 4}-5.95e-06{col 76}{space 3} .0001138
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M38: xtlogit     yrSalientMIDs_SA ServSat1 ServSat2 post2000 lnmilex1 lnmilex2 lnrgdppc1 lnrgdppc2 lndist Dem1 Dem2 Dem_Both defense Strat_Riv yrSalientNoMIDs_SA yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb if PolRev==1, fe
{txt}note: multiple positive outcomes within groups encountered.
note: 2,893 groups (100,730 obs) dropped because of all positive or
      all negative outcomes.
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-350.42608}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-316.27328}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-314.69832}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-314.45584}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-314.41969}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-314.41125}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-314.40933}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-314.40892}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-314.40885}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-314.40884}  
{res}
{txt}Conditional fixed-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}     4,302
{txt}Group variable: {res}ddyad{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        83

{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}        14
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}      51.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        61

{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}   138.28
{txt}Log likelihood  = {res}-314.40884{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0000

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     yrSalientMIDs_SA{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}ServSat1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.760734{col 35}{space 2} .7873533{col 46}{space 1}   -3.51{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-4.303918{col 76}{space 3} -1.21755
{txt}{space 13}ServSat2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.230989{col 35}{space 2} .6145638{col 46}{space 1}   -2.00{col 55}{space 3}0.045{col 63}{space 4}-2.435512{col 76}{space 3}-.0264658
{txt}{space 13}post2000 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.6835234{col 35}{space 2} .6332797{col 46}{space 1}   -1.08{col 55}{space 3}0.280{col 63}{space 4}-1.924729{col 76}{space 3} .5576821
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2307572{col 35}{space 2}  .138951{col 46}{space 1}   -1.66{col 55}{space 3}0.097{col 63}{space 4}-.5030961{col 76}{space 3} .0415817
{txt}{space 13}lnmilex2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2707702{col 35}{space 2} .1548299{col 46}{space 1}    1.75{col 55}{space 3}0.080{col 63}{space 4}-.0326909{col 76}{space 3} .5742312
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.642674{col 35}{space 2} .3451203{col 46}{space 1}   -4.76{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.319097{col 76}{space 3}-.9662502
{txt}{space 12}lnrgdppc2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -1.46861{col 35}{space 2}  .373713{col 46}{space 1}   -3.93{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.201074{col 76}{space 3}-.7361456
{txt}{space 15}lndist {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0133198{col 35}{space 2} .1398771{col 46}{space 1}    0.10{col 55}{space 3}0.924{col 63}{space 4}-.2608343{col 76}{space 3} .2874738
{txt}{space 17}Dem1 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2602436{col 35}{space 2} .6249699{col 46}{space 1}   -0.42{col 55}{space 3}0.677{col 63}{space 4}-1.485162{col 76}{space 3} .9646749
{txt}{space 17}Dem2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2682972{col 35}{space 2}  .475497{col 46}{space 1}   -0.56{col 55}{space 3}0.573{col 63}{space 4}-1.200254{col 76}{space 3} .6636597
{txt}{space 13}Dem_Both {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4644323{col 35}{space 2} .9437714{col 46}{space 1}   -0.49{col 55}{space 3}0.623{col 63}{space 4} -2.31419{col 76}{space 3} 1.385326
{txt}{space 14}defense {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.136852{col 35}{space 2} .8693848{col 46}{space 1}   -2.46{col 55}{space 3}0.014{col 63}{space 4}-3.840815{col 76}{space 3}-.4328889
{txt}{space 12}Strat_Riv {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 17.57015{col 35}{space 2} 864.1999{col 46}{space 1}    0.02{col 55}{space 3}0.984{col 63}{space 4}-1676.231{col 76}{space 3} 1711.371
{txt}{space 3}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1255657{col 35}{space 2} .0624815{col 46}{space 1}    2.01{col 55}{space 3}0.044{col 63}{space 4} .0031041{col 76}{space 3} .2480272
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0033614{col 35}{space 2} .0030868{col 46}{space 1}   -1.09{col 55}{space 3}0.276{col 63}{space 4}-.0094115{col 76}{space 3} .0026887
{txt}yrSalientNoMIDs_SA_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0000708{col 35}{space 2} .0000431{col 46}{space 1}    1.64{col 55}{space 3}0.101{col 63}{space 4}-.0000138{col 76}{space 3} .0001553
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. esttab M35 M36 M37 M38, se(2) pr2 b(2) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01) 
{res}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)             (3)             (4)   
{txt}             yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A    yrSalientM~A   
{txt}{hline 76}
{res}yrSalientM~A                                                                {txt}
{txt}ServSat1    {res}        -1.72***        -3.45***        -1.74***        -2.76***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.79{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}ServSat2    {res}        -1.32***        -1.23*          -1.50***        -1.23** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.64{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.61{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalientN~A{res}         0.00            0.07            0.01            0.13** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_sq{res}        -0.00            0.00           -0.00           -0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}yrSalie~A_cb{res}         0.00            0.00            0.00*           0.00   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex1    {res}                        -0.22                           -0.23*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnmilex2    {res}                         0.22                            0.27*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc1   {res}                        -1.71***                        -1.64***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.35{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.35{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrgdppc2   {res}                        -1.30***                        -1.47***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.38{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.37{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lndist      {res}                        -0.29                            0.01   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.54{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem1        {res}                        -0.21                           -0.26   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.71{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.62{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem2        {res}                         0.05                           -0.27   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.48{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem_Both    {res}                        -0.33                           -0.46   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.07{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.94{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}defense     {res}                        -1.74*                          -2.14** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.00{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.87{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Strat_Riv   {res}                        16.55                           17.57   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}602.47{txt:)}}                    {ralign 12:{txt:(}864.20{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}post2000    {res}                                        -1.70***        -0.68   {txt}
            {res}                                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.63{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}N           {res}         4681            3413            6148            4302   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.031           0.168           0.062           0.180   {txt}
{txt}{hline 76}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
{txt}end of do-file

{com}. 